沙田 · 2026-05-03 · 11:00
BEIJING CLUBHOUSE 1200M HANDICAP
第 11場
2026-05-03沙田第11場「BEIJING CLUBHOUSE 1200M HANDICAP」，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為SOFT。由M L Yeung策騎、K W Lui訓練的TURQUOISE VELOCITY勝出。MY MARS獲得亞軍；CROSSBORDERPEGASUS獲得季軍。3.9倍大熱門ALMIGHTY LIGHTNING跑獲第12名。
場地詳情及賽日變動（2）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | TURQUOISE VELOCITY 1:11.62 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 3 | 4.7 | — |
| 2 | 6 | MY MARS B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 1 | 5.5 | N |
| 3 | 1 | CROSSBORDERPEGASUS B/TT J Orman · J Size | J Orman | J Size | 9 | 8.3 | N |
| 4 | 2 | SMART GOLF TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 13 | 5.5 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | YOUNG EMPEROR TT L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 6 | 27.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | MAJESTIC VALOUR M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 11 | 12.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | WINNING BUDDIES K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 12 | 200.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | MAGNEMITE SR/XB/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 7 | 131.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | SCORCHING LEGEND TT1 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 39.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | THOUSAND SPIRIT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 5 | 10.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | TACTICAL HORIZONS SR/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 10 | 188.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 14 | ALMIGHTY LIGHTNING B1/TT A Atzeni · K L Man | A Atzeni | K L Man | 2 | 3.9 | 11-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | LADY'S LOVE R Kingscote · C W Chang | R Kingscote | C W Chang | 8 | 86.0 | 12-1/2 |
| — | 0 | GIANT SPIRIT B · Y S Tsui | — | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | FIERY STEED CP · P F Yiu | — | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
| WV | 5 | DO YOU JUST CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | ALMIGHTY LIGHTNING | 23.1% | 4.34 | 12 |
| 2 | 2 | SMART GOLF | 20.8% | 4.80 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | TURQUOISE VELOCITY | 14.4% | 6.95 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | MY MARS | 11.9% | 8.40 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | CROSSBORDERPEGASUS | 7.4% | 13.58 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | MAJESTIC VALOUR | 6.4% | 15.60 | 6 |
| 7 | 8 | THOUSAND SPIRIT | 6.4% | 15.75 | 10 |
| 8 | 3 | YOUNG EMPEROR | 3.3% | 30.44 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | SCORCHING LEGEND | 3.0% | 33.39 | 9 |
| 10 | 13 | LADY'S LOVE | 1.0% | 98.97 | 13 |
| 11 | 11 | TACTICAL HORIZONS | 0.9% | 108.97 | 11 |
| 12 | 9 | MAGNEMITE | 0.8% | 122.51 | 8 |
| 13 | 12 | WINNING BUDDIES | 0.7% | 143.72 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 47
PLACE
1 23.5
4 17.5
6 19
QUINELLA
4,6 107.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 66
1,6 77.5
4,6 45
FORECAST
4,6 218
TIERCE
4,6,1 1,482
TRIO
1,4,6 304
FIRST 4
1,2,4,6 358
QUARTET
4,6,1,2 9,091
全部彩池（另 4 項）
10TH DOUBLE
14/4 126
14/6 46
2ND TREBLE
8/14/4 432
8/14/6 178
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
5,9,14/1,4,6 10,050
SIX UP
3,7/5,8/6,8/1,8/9,14/4,6 1,086
7/8/8/8/14/4 28,190
1 [J Size] —
2 [A Atzeni] —