沙田 · 2026-05-03 · 06:15
THE HILLTOP IN THE VALLEY 1200M HANDICAP
第 4場
2026-05-03沙田第4場「THE HILLTOP IN THE VALLEY 1200M HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由R Kingscote策騎、M Newnham訓練的INCREDIBLE MOMENT勝出。RIDING HIGH獲得亞軍；SUNNY Q獲得季軍。頭馬以3.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
場地詳情
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | INCREDIBLE MOMENT 1:10.30 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） R Kingscote · M Newnham | R Kingscote | M Newnham | 1 | 3.8 | — |
| 2 | 13 | RIDING HIGH CP A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 4 | 4.4 | 3 |
| 3 | 14 | SUNNY Q CP/TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 3 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | GENIUS BABY CP/XB/TT K C Leung · B Crawford | K C Leung | B Crawford | 10 | 51.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | GORGEOUS VICTORY TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 7 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | SUPER RUBICK KID B1 J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 2 | 71.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | GRAND PATCH H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 11 | 5.5 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | LOVELY MILES CP1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 9 | 81.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | KA YING RADIANCE Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 14 | 7.6 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | CALL ME SPARKLE H/TT M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 12 | 9.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | PRESTIGE EMPEROR CP1 K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 8 | 95.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | DRAGON HALL B B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 6 | 105.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 13 | 3 | QUARTZ LEGEND B1/TT E Brown · C Fownes | E Brown | C Fownes | 13 | 31.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 14 | 8 | SYNERGY EXPRESS A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 5 | 41.0 | 15 |
| — | 0 | EMERGING STAR B · C W Chang | — | C W Chang | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | NOBLE PATCH · P C Ng | — | P C Ng | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GRAND PATCH | 16.9% | 5.91 | 7 |
| 2 | 13 | RIDING HIGH | 14.9% | 6.72 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | INCREDIBLE MOMENT | 12.1% | 8.25 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | KA YING RADIANCE | 9.1% | 10.99 | 9 |
| 5 | 1 | CALL ME SPARKLE | 8.5% | 11.75 | 10 |
| 6 | 10 | GORGEOUS VICTORY | 8.5% | 11.82 | 5 |
| 7 | 14 | SUNNY Q | 6.7% | 14.96 | 3 |
| 8 | 3 | QUARTZ LEGEND | 5.7% | 17.65 | 13 |
| 9 | 2 | GENIUS BABY | 5.2% | 19.29 | 4 |
| 10 | 8 | SYNERGY EXPRESS | 3.6% | 27.67 | 14 |
| 11 | 6 | PRESTIGE EMPEROR | 3.4% | 29.54 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | LOVELY MILES | 2.2% | 44.48 | 8 |
| 13 | 9 | DRAGON HALL | 1.7% | 58.50 | 12 |
| 14 | 7 | SUPER RUBICK KID | 1.5% | 66.68 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 38
PLACE
12 15.5
13 18.5
14 31
QUINELLA
12,13 83
QUINELLA PLACE
12,13 34.5
12,14 67
13,14 82
FORECAST
12,13 148
TIERCE
12,13,14 801
TRIO
12,13,14 185
FIRST 4
2,12,13,14 1,616
QUARTET
12,13,14,2 21,226
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3RD DOUBLE
4/12 331.5
4/13 86