Sha Tin · 2026-05-03 · 06:15
THE HILLTOP IN THE VALLEY 1200M HANDICAP
Race 4
Race 4 ("THE HILLTOP IN THE VALLEY 1200M HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-05-03 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. INCREDIBLE MOMENT, ridden by R Kingscote and trained by M Newnham, won, with RIDING HIGH second and SUNNY Q third. Victory came as the 3.8 favourite.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | INCREDIBLE MOMENT 1:10.30 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Kingscote · M Newnham | R Kingscote | M Newnham | 1 | 3.8 | — |
| 2 | 13 | RIDING HIGH CP A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 4 | 4.4 | 3 |
| 3 | 14 | SUNNY Q CP/TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 3 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | GENIUS BABY CP/XB/TT K C Leung · B Crawford | K C Leung | B Crawford | 10 | 51.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | GORGEOUS VICTORY TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 7 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | SUPER RUBICK KID B1 J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 2 | 71.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | GRAND PATCH H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 11 | 5.5 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | LOVELY MILES CP1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 9 | 81.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | KA YING RADIANCE Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 14 | 7.6 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | CALL ME SPARKLE H/TT M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 12 | 9.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | PRESTIGE EMPEROR CP1 K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 8 | 95.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | DRAGON HALL B B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 6 | 105.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 13 | 3 | QUARTZ LEGEND B1/TT E Brown · C Fownes | E Brown | C Fownes | 13 | 31.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 14 | 8 | SYNERGY EXPRESS A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 5 | 41.0 | 15 |
| — | 0 | EMERGING STAR B · C W Chang | — | C W Chang | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | NOBLE PATCH · P C Ng | — | P C Ng | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GRAND PATCH | 16.9% | 5.91 | 7 |
| 2 | 13 | RIDING HIGH | 14.9% | 6.72 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | INCREDIBLE MOMENT | 12.1% | 8.25 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | KA YING RADIANCE | 9.1% | 10.99 | 9 |
| 5 | 1 | CALL ME SPARKLE | 8.5% | 11.75 | 10 |
| 6 | 10 | GORGEOUS VICTORY | 8.5% | 11.82 | 5 |
| 7 | 14 | SUNNY Q | 6.7% | 14.96 | 3 |
| 8 | 3 | QUARTZ LEGEND | 5.7% | 17.65 | 13 |
| 9 | 2 | GENIUS BABY | 5.2% | 19.29 | 4 |
| 10 | 8 | SYNERGY EXPRESS | 3.6% | 27.67 | 14 |
| 11 | 6 | PRESTIGE EMPEROR | 3.4% | 29.54 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | LOVELY MILES | 2.2% | 44.48 | 8 |
| 13 | 9 | DRAGON HALL | 1.7% | 58.50 | 12 |
| 14 | 7 | SUPER RUBICK KID | 1.5% | 66.68 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 38
PLACE
12 15.5
13 18.5
14 31
QUINELLA
12,13 83
QUINELLA PLACE
12,13 34.5
12,14 67
13,14 82
FORECAST
12,13 148
TIERCE
12,13,14 801
TRIO
12,13,14 185
FIRST 4
2,12,13,14 1,616
QUARTET
12,13,14,2 21,226
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
4/12 331.5
4/13 86