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Sha Tin · 2026-05-03 · 04:45

CELEBRATING OUR SHARED CHAMPION SPIRIT 1200M HANDICAP

Race 1

Class 5 GOOD 1200m Course B 14 runners

Race 1 ("CELEBRATING OUR SHARED CHAMPION SPIRIT 1200M HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-05-03 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR, ridden by H Y Yuen and trained by J Richards, won, with CALL TO COMMAND second and KING ALLOY third. The 2.5 favourite AUTUMN VIBES finished 8th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:09.39
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 13 TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR B/TT 1:09.39 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Y Yuen · J Richards 8 5.8
2 9 CALL TO COMMAND CP/TT K C Leung · C W Chang 1 34.0 1
3 11 KING ALLOY B R Kingscote · K H Ting 13 14.0 2
4 5 MAJESTIC DELIGHT XB/TT H Bowman · D Eustace 3 8.7 2-1/4
5 14 SUPREME WINNER CP/SR/TT A Badel · D J Whyte 7 9.2 2-1/2
6 10 BASIC INSTINCT B- M L Yeung · Y S Tsui 2 105.0 3
7 12 CIRCUIT VICTORY B/TT P N Wong · K L Man 11 10.0 3-1/2
8 2 AUTUMN VIBES H- Z Purton · B Crawford 5 2.5 3-3/4
9 6 DIRIYA TT- C L Chau · C H Yip 4 20.0 5-1/4
10 1 ALWAYS FLUKE B/H/TT H Bentley · W Y So 12 11.0 7-1/4
11 7 GLORY CLOUD TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 9 75.0 7-1/2
12 8 HAPPY ALLIANCE CP/XB J Orman · K W Lui 14 200.0 10-3/4
13 3 GIMME FIVE B L Ferraris · F C Lor 6 66.0 16-3/4
14 4 GOOD FORTUNE B/TT M F Poon · P C Ng 10 20.0 17-1/4
0 BINGO BABE CP · P F Yiu
0 COUNTRY DANCER E · J Size

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR2. CALL TO COMMAND+1L3. KING ALLOY+2L4. MAJESTIC DELIGHT+2.25L5. SUPREME WINNER+2.5L6. BASIC INSTINCT+3L7. CIRCUIT VICTORY+3.5L8. AUTUMN VIBES+3.75L9. DIRIYA+5.25L10. ALWAYS FLUKE+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick AUTUMN VIBES (18.4%) finished 8th — the winner TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 AUTUMN VIBES 18.4% 5.43 8
2 14 SUPREME WINNER 12.8% 7.84 5
3 5 MAJESTIC DELIGHT 10.7% 9.37 4
4 12 CIRCUIT VICTORY 9.5% 10.56 7
5 13 TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR 8.4% 11.86 1
6 1 ALWAYS FLUKE 8.1% 12.37 10
7 11 KING ALLOY 6.5% 15.45 3
8 6 DIRIYA 5.8% 17.38 9
9 7 GLORY CLOUD 5.3% 18.86 11
10 4 GOOD FORTUNE 4.3% 23.19 14
11 3 GIMME FIVE 3.7% 27.35 13
12 9 CALL TO COMMAND 3.6% 27.87 2
13 10 BASIC INSTINCT 1.7% 60.31 6
14 8 HAPPY ALLIANCE 1.4% 70.22 12
AUTUMN VIBESSUPREME WINNERMAJESTIC DELIGHTCIRCUIT VICTORYTRIUMPHANT WARRIOR — wonALWAYS FLUKEKING ALLOYDIRIYAGLORY CLOUDGOOD FORTUNEGIMME FIVECALL TO COMMANDBASIC INSTINCTHAPPY ALLIANCE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

13 58

PLACE

9 67

11 42.5

13 19.5

QUINELLA

9,13 768.5

QUINELLA PLACE

9,11 641

9,13 251.5

11,13 137.5

FORECAST

13,9 1,382

TIERCE

13,9,11 17,338

TRIO

9,11,13 3,501

FIRST 4

5,9,11,13 4,544

QUARTET

13,9,11,5 99,942