Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2026-05-03 · 05:15

OWNERSHIP PRIDE 1200M HANDICAP

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course B 14 runners

Race 2 ("OWNERSHIP PRIDE 1200M HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-05-03 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. MALPENSA, ridden by J Orman and trained by W Y So, won, with TOP THRONE second and LEADING DRAGON third. The 3.1 favourite TOP THRONE finished 2nd.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:09.34
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 MALPENSA P-/XB/TT 1:09.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Orman · W Y So 8 9.6
2 11 TOP THRONE CP/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes 1 3.1 HD
3 10 LEADING DRAGON TT H Y Yuen · P C Ng 5 5.1 1
4 2 SUPER LOVE TT L Ferraris · C H Yip 7 42.0 2-3/4
5 1 MASTER LUCKY A Atzeni · J Size 9 19.0 3-1/4
6 5 HAPPY SMILE CP1 B Avdulla · J Richards 10 44.0 3-3/4
7 6 LIGHTNESS OF BEING CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 6 147.0 4
8 14 BULLISH PRIDE A Badel · B Crawford 11 77.0 4
9 8 VIRTUS GLORY TT1 M F Poon · P F Yiu 13 3.6 5-1/4
10 12 POWER PATCH B1 K C Leung · K L Man 14 158.0 8
11 13 SAME TO YOU H/P/TT L Hewitson · M Newnham 12 29.0 8-1/4
12 4 CHIU CHOW GOLF H Bentley · F C Lor 2 9.2 9
13 3 CASA BUDDY TT R Kingscote · C W Chang 4 197.0 11-3/4
14 7 ONESHOT TT K Teetan · W K Mo 3 24.0 18
0 KING OBERON B · D J Whyte
0 MAGIC SUPER · Y S Tsui

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MALPENSA2. TOP THRONE+0.2L3. LEADING DRAGON+1L4. SUPER LOVE+2.75L5. MASTER LUCKY+3.25L6. HAPPY SMILE+3.75L7. LIGHTNESS OF BEING+4L8. BULLISH PRIDE+4L9. VIRTUS GLORY+5.25L10. POWER PATCH+8L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick TOP THRONE (24.2%) finished 2nd — the winner MALPENSA was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 11 TOP THRONE 24.2% 4.13 2
2 10 LEADING DRAGON 20.5% 4.89 3
3 4 CHIU CHOW GOLF 14.2% 7.04 12
4 9 MALPENSA 8.9% 11.25 1
5 8 VIRTUS GLORY 8.1% 12.30 9
6 1 MASTER LUCKY 6.3% 15.80 5
7 7 ONESHOT 5.3% 18.89 14
8 13 SAME TO YOU 3.7% 26.89 11
9 5 HAPPY SMILE 2.1% 47.63 6
10 14 BULLISH PRIDE 1.9% 51.42 8
11 2 SUPER LOVE 1.6% 63.31 4
12 6 LIGHTNESS OF BEING 1.4% 70.03 7
13 3 CASA BUDDY 0.9% 112.79 13
14 12 POWER PATCH 0.8% 122.20 10
TOP THRONELEADING DRAGONCHIU CHOW GOLFMALPENSA — wonVIRTUS GLORYMASTER LUCKYONESHOTSAME TO YOUHAPPY SMILEBULLISH PRIDESUPER LOVELIGHTNESS OF BEINGCASA BUDDYPOWER PATCH

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 96

PLACE

9 25.5

10 17

11 13

QUINELLA

9,11 137

QUINELLA PLACE

9,10 71.5

9,11 50

10,11 31.5

FORECAST

9,11 397

TIERCE

9,11,10 1,155

TRIO

9,10,11 161

FIRST 4

2,9,10,11 1,795

QUARTET

9,11,10,2 31,994

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

13/9 499.5

13/11 52.5