Sha Tin · 2026-05-03 · 09:55
CONGHUA RACECOURSE 2000M HANDICAP
Race 9
Race 9 ("CONGHUA RACECOURSE 2000M HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-05-03 was Class 3 over 2000m, run on SOFT going. ENTHUSIUM, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by J Size, won, with AERODYNAMICS second and PRESTIGE GOOD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite SHAMUS STORM finished 7th.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | ENTHUSIUM Closed strongly XB1/TT 2:05.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 9 | 6.2 | — |
| 2 | 1 | AERODYNAMICS Led early CP/TT Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 5 | 6.0 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | PRESTIGE GOOD V H Y Yuen · P F Yiu | H Y Yuen | P F Yiu | 6 | 8.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | FLYING LUCK V/TT E Brown · C Fownes | E Brown | C Fownes | 1 | 20.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | MIGHTY STRENGTH Closed strongly B K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 2 | 8.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | LE ZONDA Closed strongly TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 10 | 26.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | SHAMUS STORM H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 3 | 3.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | FALLON Closed strongly B/TT P N Wong · A S Cruz | P N Wong | A S Cruz | 7 | 57.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | POPE CODY B1/TT J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 11 | 8.7 | 12-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | MISSION GIANT V E C W Wong · B Crawford | E C W Wong | B Crawford | 4 | 39.0 | 17-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | MONEY CATCHER CP K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 15.0 | 19-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | AERODYNAMICS | 25.5% | 3.92 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | SHAMUS STORM | 16.2% | 6.19 | 7 |
| 3 | 8 | ENTHUSIUM | 14.9% | 6.69 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | MIGHTY STRENGTH | 8.1% | 12.30 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | POPE CODY | 7.8% | 12.75 | 9 |
| 6 | 7 | MONEY CATCHER | 6.1% | 16.41 | 11 |
| 7 | 4 | PRESTIGE GOOD | 5.4% | 18.46 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | LE ZONDA | 5.3% | 18.95 | 6 |
| 9 | 2 | FALLON | 3.9% | 25.78 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | FLYING LUCK | 3.8% | 26.02 | 4 |
| 11 | 11 | MISSION GIANT | 2.9% | 34.07 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 62
PLACE
1 20
4 23
8 21.5
QUINELLA
1,8 179
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 78
1,8 63.5
4,8 108.5
FORECAST
8,1 307
TIERCE
8,1,4 1,939
TRIO
1,4,8 318
FIRST 4
1,4,5,8 2,214
QUARTET
8,1,4,5 31,437
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
6,8,10/1,4,8 31,199
8TH DOUBLE
8/1 22
8/8 54