沙田 · 2026-05-31 · 05:45
FEDERATION OF ASSOCIATIONS OF NATIVE HING NING RESIDENTS IN HONG KONG CUP HANDICAP
第 3場
2026-05-31沙田第3場「FEDERATION OF ASSOCIATIONS OF NATIVE HING NING RESIDENTS IN HONG KONG CUP HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、C Fownes訓練的PAPAYA BROSE勝出。KA YING RADIANCE獲得亞軍；HAPPY BRETHREN獲得季軍。頭馬以2.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
場地詳情及賽日變動（1）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | PAPAYA BROSE TT 1:09.12 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 2.5 | — |
| 2 | 12 | KA YING RADIANCE Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 12 | 8.7 | SH |
| 3 | 10 | HAPPY BRETHREN XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 23.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | TIN FOOK B-/CP2 E Brown · P F Yiu | E Brown | P F Yiu | 8 | 7.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | HAPPY SMILE CP A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 3 | 8.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 14 | FLASH STAR TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 13 | 139.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | ACA FAST J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 6 | 129.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | FUN N FUN TOGETHER B H Y Yuen · F C Lor | H Y Yuen | F C Lor | 1 | 7.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | SMILING CHAMPION CP-/B1 K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 14 | 213.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | VIEW ALL THINGS XB/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 7 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | ONE MORE SR/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 2 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | SPEEDY POWER H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 9 | 133.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 6 | APEX GLORY TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 5 | 33.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 14 | 11 | SUPREME VOYAGER B1/TT B Avdulla · C H Yip | B Avdulla | C H Yip | 10 | 16.0 | 7 |
| — | 0 | HYANNIS STAR TT · D Eustace | — | D Eustace | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | BULLISH PRIDE · B Crawford | — | B Crawford | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | PAPAYA BROSE | 24.6% | 4.07 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | ONE MORE | 14.9% | 6.73 | 11 |
| 3 | 4 | FUN N FUN TOGETHER | 9.5% | 10.56 | 8 |
| 4 | 12 | KA YING RADIANCE | 9.0% | 11.16 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | HAPPY BRETHREN | 6.9% | 14.55 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | HAPPY SMILE | 6.9% | 14.59 | 5 |
| 7 | 11 | SUPREME VOYAGER | 6.5% | 15.47 | 14 |
| 8 | 13 | VIEW ALL THINGS | 6.1% | 16.36 | 10 |
| 9 | 2 | TIN FOOK | 5.9% | 16.87 | 4 |
| 10 | 14 | FLASH STAR | 2.8% | 35.21 | 6 |
| 11 | 8 | SPEEDY POWER | 2.2% | 45.11 | 12 |
| 12 | 5 | ACA FAST | 2.1% | 47.96 | 7 |
| 13 | 6 | APEX GLORY | 1.7% | 59.31 | 13 |
| 14 | 9 | SMILING CHAMPION | 1.1% | 92.49 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 25.5
PLACE
1 14
10 51
12 28
QUINELLA
1,12 130
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 102.5
1,12 54
10,12 226.5
FORECAST
1,12 219
TIERCE
1,12,10 2,227
TRIO
1,10,12 711
FIRST 4
1,2,10,12 999
QUARTET
1,12,10,2 15,821
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
6,8,10/1,10,12 35,257
2ND DOUBLE
8/1 561
8/12 224