沙田 · 2026-05-31 · 06:15
HONG KONG FEDERATION OF GUANGZHOU ASSOCIATIONS CUP HANDICAP
第 4場
2026-05-31沙田第4場「HONG KONG FEDERATION OF GUANGZHOU ASSOCIATIONS CUP HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、M Newnham訓練的OLDTOWN勝出。SPEEDY SMARTIE獲得亞軍；A TIME FOR US獲得季軍。頭馬以2.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
場地詳情及賽日變動（1）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | OLDTOWN B/XB 1:08.96 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 1 | 2.9 | — |
| 2 | 1 | SPEEDY SMARTIE K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 12 | 9.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | A TIME FOR US B/TT E Brown · K W Lui | E Brown | K W Lui | 2 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | MASTER PHOENIX B2 L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 7 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | TURBO JEFFERIES CP1 H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 10 | 180.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | JOY STAR CP/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 14 | 45.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 13 | THE CONCENTRATION B H Y Yuen · P F Yiu | H Y Yuen | P F Yiu | 8 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | SYNERGY EXPRESS A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 146.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | DANCING BLAZE XB1/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 3 | 5.7 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | EMERGING STAR B/TT1 P N Wong · C W Chang | P N Wong | C W Chang | 11 | 192.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | VIEW OF COSMOS B/TT C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 13 | 163.0 | 11 |
| 12 | 14 | REGROWTH WINNER B/TT M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 5 | 250.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 13 | 3 | E HO HO TT C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 4 | 27.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 14 | 2 | MALPENSA XB/TT J Orman · W Y So | J Orman | W Y So | 9 | 3.7 | 14-1/4 |
| — | 0 | SAVVY WARRIOR XB/TT · D Eustace | — | D Eustace | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | GET FRIENDLY B/XB · D J Whyte | — | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | OLDTOWN | 31.7% | 3.16 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | DANCING BLAZE | 19.4% | 5.15 | 9 |
| 3 | 2 | MALPENSA | 11.0% | 9.11 | 14 |
| 4 | 13 | THE CONCENTRATION | 10.0% | 10.01 | 7 |
| 5 | 1 | SPEEDY SMARTIE | 7.1% | 14.17 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | E HO HO | 5.4% | 18.52 | 13 |
| 7 | 6 | MASTER PHOENIX | 4.5% | 22.21 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | A TIME FOR US | 3.7% | 27.27 | 3 |
| 9 | 9 | TURBO JEFFERIES | 1.5% | 67.61 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | SYNERGY EXPRESS | 1.4% | 73.79 | 8 |
| 11 | 12 | EMERGING STAR | 1.2% | 84.39 | 10 |
| 12 | 14 | REGROWTH WINNER | 1.1% | 88.09 | 12 |
| 13 | 11 | JOY STAR | 1.1% | 90.44 | 6 |
| 14 | 8 | VIEW OF COSMOS | 1.0% | 95.97 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 29
PLACE
1 27.5
4 26.5
7 13
QUINELLA
1,7 129.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 131.5
1,7 48
4,7 47
FORECAST
7,1 262
TIERCE
7,1,4 1,718
TRIO
1,4,7 416
FIRST 4
1,4,6,7 1,014
QUARTET
7,1,4,6 14,574
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3RD DOUBLE
1/1 84
1/7 110.5