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Sha Tin · 2026-05-31 · 06:15

HONG KONG FEDERATION OF GUANGZHOU ASSOCIATIONS CUP HANDICAP

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course B 14 runners

Race 4 ("HONG KONG FEDERATION OF GUANGZHOU ASSOCIATIONS CUP HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-05-31 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. OLDTOWN, ridden by Z Purton and trained by M Newnham, won, with SPEEDY SMARTIE second and A TIME FOR US third. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.

Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 #13 THE CONCENTRATION — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:08.96
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 OLDTOWN B/XB 1:08.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · M Newnham 1 2.9
2 1 SPEEDY SMARTIE K Teetan · B Crawford 12 9.7 1/2
3 4 A TIME FOR US B/TT E Brown · K W Lui 2 11.0 1
4 6 MASTER PHOENIX B2 L Ferraris · D Eustace 7 13.0 3-1/4
5 9 TURBO JEFFERIES CP1 H Bentley · D A Hayes 10 180.0 3-1/4
6 11 JOY STAR CP/TT H T Mo · C S Shum 14 45.0 3-1/2
7 13 THE CONCENTRATION B H Y Yuen · P F Yiu 8 14.0 3-3/4
8 10 SYNERGY EXPRESS A Badel · J Size 6 146.0 5-1/4
9 5 DANCING BLAZE XB1/TT J Moreira · C Fownes 3 5.7 5-1/4
10 12 EMERGING STAR B/TT1 P N Wong · C W Chang 11 192.0 5-3/4
11 8 VIEW OF COSMOS B/TT C L Chau · C H Yip 13 163.0 11
12 14 REGROWTH WINNER B/TT M L Yeung · J Richards 5 250.0 11-1/2
13 3 E HO HO TT C Y Ho · K L Man 4 27.0 12-1/2
14 2 MALPENSA XB/TT J Orman · W Y So 9 3.7 14-1/4
0 SAVVY WARRIOR XB/TT · D Eustace
0 GET FRIENDLY B/XB · D J Whyte

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. OLDTOWN2. SPEEDY SMARTIE+0.5L3. A TIME FOR US+1L4. MASTER PHOENIX+3.25L5. TURBO JEFFERIES+3.25L6. JOY STAR+3.5L7. THE CONCENTRATION+3.75L8. SYNERGY EXPRESS+5.25L9. DANCING BLAZE+5.25L10. EMERGING STAR+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick OLDTOWN (31.7%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 OLDTOWN 31.7% 3.16 1
2 5 DANCING BLAZE 19.4% 5.15 9
3 2 MALPENSA 11.0% 9.11 14
4 13 THE CONCENTRATION 10.0% 10.01 7
5 1 SPEEDY SMARTIE 7.1% 14.17 2
6 3 E HO HO 5.4% 18.52 13
7 6 MASTER PHOENIX 4.5% 22.21 4
8 4 A TIME FOR US 3.7% 27.27 3
9 9 TURBO JEFFERIES 1.5% 67.61 5
10 10 SYNERGY EXPRESS 1.4% 73.79 8
11 12 EMERGING STAR 1.2% 84.39 10
12 14 REGROWTH WINNER 1.1% 88.09 12
13 11 JOY STAR 1.1% 90.44 6
14 8 VIEW OF COSMOS 1.0% 95.97 11
OLDTOWN — wonDANCING BLAZEMALPENSATHE CONCENTRATIONSPEEDY SMARTIEE HO HOMASTER PHOENIXA TIME FOR USTURBO JEFFERIESSYNERGY EXPRESSEMERGING STARREGROWTH WINNERJOY STARVIEW OF COSMOS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 29

PLACE

1 27.5

4 26.5

7 13

QUINELLA

1,7 129.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 131.5

1,7 48

4,7 47

FORECAST

7,1 262

TIERCE

7,1,4 1,718

TRIO

1,4,7 416

FIRST 4

1,4,6,7 1,014

QUARTET

7,1,4,6 14,574

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

1/1 84

1/7 110.5