Sha Tin · 2026-05-31 · 09:10
THE SHA TIN VASE (HANDICAP)
Race 9
Race 9 ("THE SHA TIN VASE (HANDICAP)") at Sha Tin on 2026-05-31 was Group 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. PATCH OF STARS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by K L Man, won, with RAGING BLIZZARD second and TOMODACHI KOKOROE third. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | PATCH OF STARS TT 1:07.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 1 | 2.8 | — |
| 2 | 1 | RAGING BLIZZARD P B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 7 | 10.0 | SH |
| 3 | 3 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE B/TT H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 6 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | STELLAR EXPRESS B H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 10 | 21.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | INVINCIBLE SHIELD C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | CRIMSON FLASH B A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 9 | 5.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | ROMANTIC SON CP-/B1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 4 | 63.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | LUCKY WITH YOU L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 2 | 6.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | SKY TRUST TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 8 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | BEAUTY WAVES TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 3 | 7.4 | 6-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | PATCH OF STARS | 25.6% | 3.91 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | INVINCIBLE SHIELD | 18.5% | 5.41 | 5 |
| 3 | 8 | CRIMSON FLASH | 17.1% | 5.84 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | RAGING BLIZZARD | 11.1% | 8.98 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | SKY TRUST | 8.6% | 11.69 | 9 |
| 6 | 4 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 5.2% | 19.25 | 8 |
| 7 | 5 | STELLAR EXPRESS | 4.2% | 23.95 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | BEAUTY WAVES | 3.5% | 28.89 | 10 |
| 9 | 10 | ROMANTIC SON | 3.2% | 30.80 | 7 |
| 10 | 3 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE | 3.0% | 33.13 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 28.5
PLACE
1 26.5
3 35
7 13
QUINELLA
1,7 180.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 242
1,7 62
3,7 66.5
FORECAST
7,1 323
TIERCE
7,1,3 3,673
TRIO
1,3,7 833
FIRST 4
1,3,5,7 2,732
QUARTET
7,1,3,5 39,845
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
6,9,14/1,3,7 55,972
8TH DOUBLE
9/1 639.5
9/7 2,213