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Sha Tin · 2026-05-31 · 08:05

THE LION ROCK TROPHY (HANDICAP)

Race 7

Group 3 GOOD 1600m Course B 9 runners

Race 7 ("THE LION ROCK TROPHY (HANDICAP)") at Sha Tin on 2026-05-31 was Group 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. LIGHT YEARS CHARM, ridden by C L Chau and trained by D Eustace, won, with BEAUTY JOY second and COPARTNER PRANCE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.9 favourite WINNING OVATION finished 5th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:33.58
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 LIGHT YEARS CHARM Closed strongly CP1/TT1 1:33.58 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · D Eustace 1 43.0
2 4 BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 9 41.0 SH
3 1 COPARTNER PRANCE Led early XB H Bowman · K W Lui 5 16.0 SH
4 7 SKY JEWELLERY Closed strongly A Atzeni · J Size 7 2.1 1/2
5 6 WINNING OVATION TT Z Purton · A S Cruz 3 1.9 1/2
6 2 SUNLIGHT POWER Closed strongly E Brown · P F Yiu 8 38.0 2-1/4
7 8 STUNNING PEACH CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 4 48.0 2-3/4
8 3 CHANCHENG GLORY B/XB H Bentley · K W Lui 2 43.0 5-1/4
9 9 PATCH OF COSMO B/TT K Teetan · K L Man 6 21.0 5-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LIGHT YEARS CHARM2. BEAUTY JOY+0.1L3. COPARTNER PRANCE+0.1L4. SKY JEWELLERY+0.5L5. WINNING OVATION+0.5L6. SUNLIGHT POWER+2.25L7. STUNNING PEACH+2.75L8. CHANCHENG GLORY+5.25L9. PATCH OF COSMO+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SKY JEWELLERY (46.3%) finished 4th — the winner LIGHT YEARS CHARM was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 SKY JEWELLERY 46.3% 2.16 4
2 6 WINNING OVATION 35.3% 2.84 5
3 9 PATCH OF COSMO 3.3% 30.04 9
4 3 CHANCHENG GLORY 3.2% 31.57 8
5 5 LIGHT YEARS CHARM 3.2% 31.69 1
6 1 COPARTNER PRANCE 3.1% 32.33 3
7 8 STUNNING PEACH 2.4% 41.25 7
8 4 BEAUTY JOY 1.7% 59.66 2
9 2 SUNLIGHT POWER 1.6% 62.59 6
SKY JEWELLERYWINNING OVATIONPATCH OF COSMOCHANCHENG GLORYLIGHT YEARS CHARM — wonCOPARTNER PRANCESTUNNING PEACHBEAUTY JOYSUNLIGHT POWER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 438

PLACE

1 26.5

4 39.5

5 47

QUINELLA

4,5 4,357

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 451

1,5 331.5

4,5 715.5

FORECAST

5,4 6,829

TIERCE

5,4,1 78,265

TRIO

1,4,5 9,438

FIRST 4

1,4,5,7 4,111

QUARTET

5,4,1,7 305,344

All pools (3 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

3,4,6/1,4,5 837,671

6TH DOUBLE

4/4 333

4/5 2,695.5

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

5,8,11/3,4,6/Any Combination 2,898