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Sha Tin · 2026-05-31 · 08:40

FEDERATION OF QING YUAN ASSOCIATIONS (HONG KONG) CUP HANDICAP

Race 8

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course B 14 runners

Race 8 ("FEDERATION OF QING YUAN ASSOCIATIONS (HONG KONG) CUP HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-05-31 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. JOYFUL JOY, ridden by J Orman and trained by M Newnham, won, with GALLANT DESIGN second and GORGEOUS VICTORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite GALLANT DESIGN finished 2nd.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:20.81
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 JOYFUL JOY Closed strongly B1 1:20.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Orman · M Newnham 4 54.0
2 6 GALLANT DESIGN Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · J Richards 1 2.2 1-1/2
3 14 GORGEOUS VICTORY Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · C S Shum 7 7.7 2-1/4
4 8 INVICTUS Led early XB H Bowman · D J Whyte 14 21.0 3-3/4
5 1 CIRCUIT FIERY PC/TT H Y Yuen · W Y So 11 16.0 4
6 10 LOVELY MILES Closed strongly CP-/B1 E Brown · P F Yiu 6 169.0 6-1/4
7 5 SUPERB KID Closed strongly CP2 C L Chau · Y S Tsui 8 56.0 6-1/4
8 3 KA YING SUPERB H/XB M F Poon · W K Mo 12 39.0 6-3/4
9 2 INVICTUS DRAGON Z Purton · K W Lui 5 5.7 7
10 4 PRESTIGE ALWAYS B/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng 2 9.1 7-1/2
11 12 LUCKY MAN BO/H H Bentley · K H Ting 3 7.9 9-1/4
12 7 GOOD LUCK BABE B/TT P N Wong · A S Cruz 10 28.0 10-3/4
13 11 NEVER PETER OUT V/TT H T Mo · F C Lor 9 99.0 13-1/2
14 13 PRESTIGE EMPEROR CP-/B1 K Teetan · C H Yip 13 185.0 27-1/2
0 POWER PATCH B · K L Man
0 PING HAI COMET H · J Size

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. JOYFUL JOY2. GALLANT DESIGN+1.5L3. GORGEOUS VICTORY+2.25L4. INVICTUS+3.75L5. CIRCUIT FIERY+4L6. LOVELY MILES+6.25L7. SUPERB KID+6.25L8. KA YING SUPERB+6.75L9. INVICTUS DRAGON+7L10. PRESTIGE ALWAYS+7.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick INVICTUS DRAGON (25.6%) finished 9th — the winner JOYFUL JOY was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 INVICTUS DRAGON 25.6% 3.91 9
2 6 GALLANT DESIGN 15.7% 6.36 2
3 14 GORGEOUS VICTORY 10.9% 9.13 3
4 1 CIRCUIT FIERY 10.4% 9.62 5
5 12 LUCKY MAN 9.4% 10.69 11
6 4 PRESTIGE ALWAYS 5.2% 19.06 10
7 9 JOYFUL JOY 4.7% 21.24 1
8 8 INVICTUS 3.8% 26.38 4
9 7 GOOD LUCK BABE 3.7% 26.71 12
10 11 NEVER PETER OUT 3.3% 30.46 13
11 3 KA YING SUPERB 2.4% 42.53 8
12 5 SUPERB KID 2.3% 42.80 7
13 10 LOVELY MILES 1.4% 70.58 6
14 13 PRESTIGE EMPEROR 1.1% 88.39 14
INVICTUS DRAGONGALLANT DESIGNGORGEOUS VICTORYCIRCUIT FIERYLUCKY MANPRESTIGE ALWAYSJOYFUL JOY — wonINVICTUSGOOD LUCK BABENEVER PETER OUTKA YING SUPERBSUPERB KIDLOVELY MILESPRESTIGE EMPEROR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 546

PLACE

6 11.5

9 121

14 23.5

QUINELLA

6,9 642.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,9 229.5

6,14 34.5

9,14 481.5

FORECAST

9,6 2,249

TIERCE

9,6,14 12,055

TRIO

6,9,14 1,090

FIRST 4

6,8,9,14 4,962

QUARTET

9,6,14,8 155,144

All pools (1 more)

7TH DOUBLE

5/6 288.5

5/9 12,465.5