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Sha Tin · 2026-05-31 · 15:05

THE HAKKA CUP (HANDICAP)

Race 5

Class 3 GOOD 1400m Course B 14 runners
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 #13 KING DANCE — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:20.85
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 AEROINVINCIBLE Closed strongly H/TT 1:20.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · P C Ng 3 6.7 —
2 11 WINNING GOLD Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · W Y So 4 31.0 3/4
3 5 CIRCUIT CHAMPION Closed strongly CP/TT M L Yeung · C S Shum 8 3.5 1
4 1 HELENE SUPAFEELING Closed strongly XB/TT C L Chau · D Eustace 6 8.7 1-1/4
5 12 TARGET AUDIENCE TT J Moreira · C Fownes 2 23.0 2
6 10 RED MAESTRO A Badel · J Size 12 3.7 2
7 7 URANUS STAR XB L Ferraris · K W Lui 11 17.0 2-1/2
8 3 SAVVY BRILLIANT Closed strongly XB/TT Z Purton · F C Lor 5 29.0 2-3/4
9 2 SOVEREIGN FUND CP K Teetan · B Crawford 1 27.0 3-1/4
10 9 KANSAS Led early CP E C W Wong · D A Hayes 10 275.0 5-1/4
11 14 POSITIVE SMILE Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · D A Hayes 13 27.0 6
12 6 FORTUNE LINK H Y Yuen · P F Yiu 14 54.0 8-1/4
13 4 WINDLORD H/TT E Brown · W K Mo 9 48.0 12-1/4
14 13 KING DANCE B/XB C Y Ho · K W Lui 7 8.9 16

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 ("THE HAKKA CUP (HANDICAP)") at Sha Tin on 2026-05-31 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. AEROINVINCIBLE, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by P C Ng, won, with WINNING GOLD second and CIRCUIT CHAMPION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite CIRCUIT CHAMPION finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. AEROINVINCIBLE—2. WINNING GOLD+0.75L3. CIRCUIT CHAMPION+1L4. HELENE SUPAFEELING+1.25L5. TARGET AUDIENCE+2L6. RED MAESTRO+2L7. URANUS STAR+2.5L8. SAVVY BRILLIANT+2.75L9. SOVEREIGN FUND+3.25L10. KANSAS+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick CIRCUIT CHAMPION (23.7%) finished 3rd — the winner AEROINVINCIBLE was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 CIRCUIT CHAMPION 23.7% 4.22 3
2 13 KING DANCE 14.9% 6.70 14
3 8 AEROINVINCIBLE 12.5% 7.97 1
4 12 TARGET AUDIENCE 10.5% 9.54 5
5 10 RED MAESTRO 7.7% 13.05 6
6 14 POSITIVE SMILE 5.3% 18.89 11
7 1 HELENE SUPAFEELING 5.0% 20.13 4
8 3 SAVVY BRILLIANT 4.2% 23.94 8
9 6 FORTUNE LINK 4.2% 24.00 12
10 2 SOVEREIGN FUND 3.5% 28.27 9
11 7 URANUS STAR 3.0% 33.03 7
12 4 WINDLORD 2.5% 39.86 13
13 11 WINNING GOLD 2.2% 45.17 2
14 9 KANSAS 0.8% 121.36 10
CIRCUIT CHAMPIONKING DANCEAEROINVINCIBLE — wonTARGET AUDIENCERED MAESTROPOSITIVE SMILEHELENE SUPAFEELINGSAVVY BRILLIANTFORTUNE LINKSOVEREIGN FUNDURANUS STARWINDLORDWINNING GOLDKANSAS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 67

PLACE

5 17.5

8 22

11 72.5

QUINELLA

8,11 929.5

QUINELLA PLACE

5,8 51

5,11 239.5

8,11 286.5

FORECAST

8,11 1,761

TIERCE

8,11,5 9,299

TRIO

5,8,11 1,101

FIRST 4

1,5,8,11 1,625

QUARTET

8,11,5,1 54,268

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

1/7/8 598

1/7/11 708

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,4,7/5,8,11 68,202

4TH DOUBLE

7/8 204

7/11 138.5