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Sha Tin · 2026-05-31 · 07:05

THE HAKKA CUP (HANDICAP)

Race 5

Class 3 GOOD 1400m Course B 14 runners

Race 5 ("THE HAKKA CUP (HANDICAP)") at Sha Tin on 2026-05-31 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. AEROINVINCIBLE, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by P C Ng, won, with WINNING GOLD second and CIRCUIT CHAMPION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite CIRCUIT CHAMPION finished 3rd.

Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 #13 KING DANCE — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:20.85
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 AEROINVINCIBLE Closed strongly H/TT 1:20.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · P C Ng 3 6.7
2 11 WINNING GOLD Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · W Y So 4 31.0 3/4
3 5 CIRCUIT CHAMPION Closed strongly CP/TT M L Yeung · C S Shum 8 3.5 1
4 1 HELENE SUPAFEELING Closed strongly XB/TT C L Chau · D Eustace 6 8.7 1-1/4
5 12 TARGET AUDIENCE TT J Moreira · C Fownes 2 23.0 2
6 10 RED MAESTRO A Badel · J Size 12 3.7 2
7 7 URANUS STAR XB L Ferraris · K W Lui 11 17.0 2-1/2
8 3 SAVVY BRILLIANT Closed strongly XB/TT Z Purton · F C Lor 5 29.0 2-3/4
9 2 SOVEREIGN FUND CP K Teetan · B Crawford 1 27.0 3-1/4
10 9 KANSAS Led early CP E C W Wong · D A Hayes 10 275.0 5-1/4
11 14 POSITIVE SMILE Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · D A Hayes 13 27.0 6
12 6 FORTUNE LINK H Y Yuen · P F Yiu 14 54.0 8-1/4
13 4 WINDLORD H/TT E Brown · W K Mo 9 48.0 12-1/4
14 13 KING DANCE B/XB C Y Ho · K W Lui 7 8.9 16

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. AEROINVINCIBLE2. WINNING GOLD+0.75L3. CIRCUIT CHAMPION+1L4. HELENE SUPAFEELING+1.25L5. TARGET AUDIENCE+2L6. RED MAESTRO+2L7. URANUS STAR+2.5L8. SAVVY BRILLIANT+2.75L9. SOVEREIGN FUND+3.25L10. KANSAS+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick CIRCUIT CHAMPION (23.7%) finished 3rd — the winner AEROINVINCIBLE was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 CIRCUIT CHAMPION 23.7% 4.22 3
2 13 KING DANCE 14.9% 6.70 14
3 8 AEROINVINCIBLE 12.5% 7.97 1
4 12 TARGET AUDIENCE 10.5% 9.54 5
5 10 RED MAESTRO 7.7% 13.05 6
6 14 POSITIVE SMILE 5.3% 18.89 11
7 1 HELENE SUPAFEELING 5.0% 20.13 4
8 3 SAVVY BRILLIANT 4.2% 23.94 8
9 6 FORTUNE LINK 4.2% 24.00 12
10 2 SOVEREIGN FUND 3.5% 28.27 9
11 7 URANUS STAR 3.0% 33.03 7
12 4 WINDLORD 2.5% 39.86 13
13 11 WINNING GOLD 2.2% 45.17 2
14 9 KANSAS 0.8% 121.36 10
CIRCUIT CHAMPIONKING DANCEAEROINVINCIBLE — wonTARGET AUDIENCERED MAESTROPOSITIVE SMILEHELENE SUPAFEELINGSAVVY BRILLIANTFORTUNE LINKSOVEREIGN FUNDURANUS STARWINDLORDWINNING GOLDKANSAS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 67

PLACE

5 17.5

8 22

11 72.5

QUINELLA

8,11 929.5

QUINELLA PLACE

5,8 51

5,11 239.5

8,11 286.5

FORECAST

8,11 1,761

TIERCE

8,11,5 9,299

TRIO

5,8,11 1,101

FIRST 4

1,5,8,11 1,625

QUARTET

8,11,5,1 54,268

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

1/7/8 598

1/7/11 708

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,4,7/5,8,11 68,202

4TH DOUBLE

7/8 204

7/11 138.5