沙田 · 2026-06-07 · 13:15
HKU JOCKEY CLUB TOWER HANDICAP
第 11場
2026-06-07沙田第11場「HKU JOCKEY CLUB TOWER HANDICAP」，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、P F Yiu訓練的CHILL EASY勝出。RUN RUN SMART獲得亞軍；KING EQUINE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
場地詳情及賽日變動（1）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | CHILL EASY 後段發力 CP 1:21.17 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 3 | 2.9 | — |
| 2 | 5 | RUN RUN SMART 早段領放 TT H Y Yuen · F C Lor | H Y Yuen | F C Lor | 5 | 6.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | KING EQUINE 後段發力 B2/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 1 | 83.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 13 | M M CONCORD B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 12 | 33.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | THE UNIQUE STAR K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 8 | 8.3 | 5-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT 後段發力 B/TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 7 | 46.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | FIT FOR BEAUTY 後段發力 H Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 14 | 5.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 14 | RISING FROM ASHES 後段發力 B/TT L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 4 | 23.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | KEMPES 後段發力 A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 2 | 18.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | THUNDER ACTION M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 13 | 14.0 | 11 |
| 11 | 4 | THUNDER KIT H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 9.7 | 12-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | MAKE YOU SMILE B J Moreira · D Eustace | J Moreira | D Eustace | 6 | 18.0 | 16-1/4 |
| 13 | 11 | WELL ENOUGH TT H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 11 | 190.0 | 21-3/4 |
| 14 | 9 | TRUE BROTHERS A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 10 | 100.0 | 22 |
| — | 0 | KANSAS CP · D A Hayes | — | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | SOMELOVEFROMABOVE PC- · C Fownes | — | C Fownes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FIT FOR BEAUTY | 17.5% | 5.72 | 7 |
| 2 | 7 | CHILL EASY | 16.4% | 6.10 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | RUN RUN SMART | 15.8% | 6.31 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | THUNDER KIT | 11.9% | 8.43 | 11 |
| 5 | 6 | THE UNIQUE STAR | 6.9% | 14.58 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | KEMPES | 6.5% | 15.34 | 9 |
| 7 | 2 | MAKE YOU SMILE | 6.1% | 16.27 | 12 |
| 8 | 10 | THUNDER ACTION | 4.6% | 21.78 | 10 |
| 9 | 14 | RISING FROM ASHES | 3.2% | 31.15 | 8 |
| 10 | 1 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT | 2.8% | 35.94 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | TRUE BROTHERS | 2.5% | 39.75 | 14 |
| 12 | 8 | KING EQUINE | 2.3% | 44.20 | 3 |
| 13 | 13 | M M CONCORD | 2.1% | 47.42 | 4 |
| 14 | 11 | WELL ENOUGH | 1.4% | 69.41 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 29.5
PLACE
5 25
7 14
8 207.5
QUINELLA
5,7 98.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 40
5,8 750
7,8 453
FORECAST
7,5 185
TIERCE
7,5,8 11,015
TRIO
5,7,8 2,293
FIRST 4
5,7,8,13 10,320
QUARTET
7,5,8,13 111,712
全部彩池（另 4 項）
10TH DOUBLE
8/5 41.5
8/7 130.5
2ND TREBLE
5/8/5 270
5/8/7 637
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
5,8,9/5,7,8 172,583
SIX UP
7/8/2/5/8/7 397,510
7,10/5,8/2,12/5,6/5,8/5,7 1,333
1 [P F Yiu] —
3 [C L Chau] —