沙田 · 2026-06-07 · 12:05
HKU JOCKEY CLUB STUDENT VILLAGES HANDICAP
第 9場
2026-06-07沙田第9場「HKU JOCKEY CLUB STUDENT VILLAGES HANDICAP」，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、P F Yiu訓練的CHILL BUDDY勝出。EFFORTLESS WIN獲得亞軍；LADY'S CHOICE獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門EFFORTLESS WIN跑獲第2名。
場地詳情及賽日變動（1）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CHILL BUDDY TT 1:08.78 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 2 | 5.9 | — |
| 2 | 6 | EFFORTLESS WIN C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 3 | 2.9 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | LADY'S CHOICE B K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 10 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | GUSTOSISIMO TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 1 | 5.6 | 1 |
| 5 | 12 | SPICY STANDARD A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 12 | 5.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | THRIVING BROTHERS TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 5 | 9.5 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | STAY COSMIC B- B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 9 | 59.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | KING MILES B/TT E Brown · K W Lui | E Brown | K W Lui | 4 | 57.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | MOUNT EVEREST M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 7 | 42.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | LUCKY MY WAY CP1 L Hewitson · D Eustace | L Hewitson | D Eustace | 8 | 48.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | HIGH PRAISE TT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 6 | 70.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | CELESTIAL HERO CP H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 11 | 14.0 | 9-3/4 |
| — | 0 | SUGAR SUGAR B/TT · C Fownes | — | C Fownes | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | SHANGHAI WARRIOR · C S Shum | — | C S Shum | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | EFFORTLESS WIN | 33.0% | 3.03 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | CHILL BUDDY | 17.6% | 5.67 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | GUSTOSISIMO | 16.7% | 5.99 | 4 |
| 4 | 11 | THRIVING BROTHERS | 10.6% | 9.41 | 6 |
| 5 | 12 | SPICY STANDARD | 5.6% | 17.94 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | CELESTIAL HERO | 4.5% | 22.08 | 12 |
| 7 | 9 | MOUNT EVEREST | 3.3% | 30.39 | 9 |
| 8 | 2 | LADY'S CHOICE | 2.7% | 36.47 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | LUCKY MY WAY | 1.8% | 56.91 | 10 |
| 10 | 3 | STAY COSMIC | 1.7% | 59.73 | 7 |
| 11 | 7 | KING MILES | 1.5% | 67.24 | 8 |
| 12 | 8 | HIGH PRAISE | 1.0% | 102.30 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 59
PLACE
2 41.5
5 18.5
6 16
QUINELLA
5,6 94.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 118
2,6 68
5,6 37
FORECAST
5,6 219
TIERCE
5,6,2 2,279
TRIO
2,5,6 394
FIRST 4
1,2,5,6 293
QUARTET
5,6,2,1 7,999
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,12/2,5,6 24,061
8TH DOUBLE
2/5 726.5
2/6 79