沙田 · 2026-06-21 · 10:30
EMERALD HANDICAP
第 6場
2026-06-21沙田第6場「EMERALD HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、K H Ting訓練的COME FAST FAY FAY勝出。QUICK CONTRIBUTION獲得亞軍；GRAND PATCH獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
場地詳情及賽日變動（1）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | COME FAST FAY FAY 後段發力 SR/TT 1:22.36 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 12 | 3.7 | — |
| 2 | 12 | QUICK CONTRIBUTION 後段發力 P N Wong · D J Hall | P N Wong | D J Hall | 11 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | GRAND PATCH 後段發力 CP1 C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 7 | 36.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 14 | SILVER UP 後段發力 M L Yeung · B Crawford | M L Yeung | B Crawford | 14 | 25.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | TIN FOOK CP E Brown · P F Yiu | E Brown | P F Yiu | 4 | 4.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | HAPPY SMILE 後段發力 CP A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 10 | 33.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 13 | MULTISUPERSTAR 後段發力 CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 25.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | CALIFORNIA WAVES V/XB/TT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 1 | 4.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | ALABAMA SONG H B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 6 | 18.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | PRESIDENT PEGASUS 早段領放 TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 9 | 58.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 5 | HAPPY PROMISE TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 5 | 6.3 | 4 |
| 12 | 8 | FORTUNE STAR B/TT C L Chau · M Newnham | C L Chau | M Newnham | 8 | 23.0 | 4 |
| 13 | 9 | SMILING CHAMPION B M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 3 | 137.0 | 6-1/4 |
| — | 0 | HAROLD WIN V/XB · K W Lui | — | K W Lui | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | LIGHT YEARS GLORY CP-/XB1/TT- · D Eustace | — | D Eustace | — | — | — |
| — | 11 | ILLUMINOUS V M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | COME FAST FAY FAY | 22.6% | 4.43 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | CALIFORNIA WAVES | 16.2% | 6.16 | 8 |
| 3 | 2 | TIN FOOK | 11.5% | 8.68 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | HAPPY PROMISE | 11.1% | 9.04 | 11 |
| 5 | 13 | MULTISUPERSTAR | 7.2% | 13.94 | 7 |
| 6 | 6 | HAPPY SMILE | 6.5% | 15.39 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | QUICK CONTRIBUTION | 5.1% | 19.51 | 2 |
| 8 | 8 | FORTUNE STAR | 4.9% | 20.60 | 12 |
| 9 | 4 | GRAND PATCH | 4.3% | 23.19 | 3 |
| 10 | 14 | SILVER UP | 3.7% | 26.77 | 4 |
| 11 | 10 | ALABAMA SONG | 2.8% | 35.96 | 9 |
| 12 | 7 | PRESIDENT PEGASUS | 2.7% | 36.78 | 10 |
| 13 | 9 | SMILING CHAMPION | 1.4% | 71.67 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 37
PLACE
3 15
4 95.5
12 42
QUINELLA
3,12 342.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 235
3,12 106.5
4,12 793
FORECAST
3,12 389
TIERCE
3,12,4 9,808
TRIO
3,4,12 3,146
FIRST 4
3,4,12,14 13,013
QUARTET
3,12,4,14 164,756
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
3/3,11 420.5
3/12 262