沙田 · 2026-06-21 · 10:00
TOPAZ HANDICAP
第 5場
2026-06-21沙田第5場「TOPAZ HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、W K Mo訓練的FLYING KNIGHT勝出。PACKING FIGHTER獲得亞軍；LUCKY YEAR獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。1.8倍大熱門PACKING FIGHTER跑獲第2名。
場地詳情
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FLYING KNIGHT 後段發力 B/TT 1:34.74 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 3 | 11.0 | — |
| 2 | 4 | PACKING FIGHTER 早段領放 XB/TT2 Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 11 | 1.8 | N |
| 3 | 12 | LUCKY YEAR 後段發力 A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 7 | 5.7 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | FAMILY KNIGHT 後段發力 E-/SR/TT H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 2 | 24.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | SKY DEEP PC/XB J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 1 | 5.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | INNO SUPER 後段發力 B/TT J Orman · D Eustace | J Orman | D Eustace | 10 | 67.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | LOVELY MILES 後段發力 B E Brown · P F Yiu | E Brown | P F Yiu | 9 | 98.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 6 | SHAMZ 後段發力 TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 13 | 191.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | SUPREME MASTERMIND XB2 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 14 | 31.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 14 | PING HAI COMET H A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 5 | 85.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 1 | MASTER TRILLION K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 4 | 21.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 13 | FLYING AMANI B/TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 41.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 5 | LUCKY TWIN STARS CP/TT C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 6 | 43.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 9 | LUCK IS BACK P-/B1 L Hewitson · P C Ng | L Hewitson | P C Ng | 12 | 81.0 | 8-3/4 |
| — | 0 | BEST WORLD CP · D A Hayes | — | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | HEALTHY PONY CP-/H/P1 · C W Chang | — | C W Chang | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SKY DEEP | 32.5% | 3.08 | 5 |
| 2 | 4 | PACKING FIGHTER | 13.4% | 7.46 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | LUCKY YEAR | 13.2% | 7.57 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | FLYING KNIGHT | 10.2% | 9.83 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | FAMILY KNIGHT | 6.8% | 14.76 | 4 |
| 6 | 13 | FLYING AMANI | 4.6% | 21.72 | 12 |
| 7 | 5 | LUCKY TWIN STARS | 4.4% | 22.95 | 13 |
| 8 | 7 | SUPREME MASTERMIND | 3.1% | 31.79 | 9 |
| 9 | 8 | INNO SUPER | 2.6% | 37.79 | 6 |
| 10 | 14 | PING HAI COMET | 2.1% | 47.54 | 10 |
| 11 | 1 | MASTER TRILLION | 2.0% | 51.14 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | LOVELY MILES | 2.0% | 51.15 | 7 |
| 13 | 6 | SHAMZ | 1.6% | 61.60 | 8 |
| 14 | 9 | LUCK IS BACK | 1.6% | 62.32 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 114.5
PLACE
3 23.5
4 12.5
12 15.5
QUINELLA
3,4 78
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 35
3,12 60
4,12 22.5
FORECAST
3,4 339
TIERCE
3,4,12 1,227
TRIO
3,4,12 119
FIRST 4
3,4,10,12 470
QUARTET
3,4,12,10 12,183
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
1/2/3 643
1/2/4 26
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,11/3,4,12 2,552
4TH DOUBLE
2/3 205.5
2/4 11.5