跑馬地 · 2026-07-15 · 12:00
SWEET ORANGE HANDICAP
第 4場
2026-07-15跑馬地第4場「SWEET ORANGE HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Ferraris策騎、A S Cruz訓練的SHAMZ勝出。SKY DEEP獲得亞軍；PRESTIGE RICKY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.5倍大熱門GORGEOUS VICTORY跑獲第8名。
場地詳情
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SHAMZ 後段發力 TT 1:39.88 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 12 | 38.0 | — |
| 2 | 1 | SKY DEEP PC/XB J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 3 | 7.2 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | PRESTIGE RICKY 後段發力 E2/TT K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 9 | 13.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | TAKE ACTION 後段發力 B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 7 | 8.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | LUCKY TOGETHER 後段發力 H/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 4 | 19.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | GAZELEY B-/XB/V1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 57.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | WHOWROTETHATSONG 後段發力 TT Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 8 | 65.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | GORGEOUS VICTORY 早段領放 TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 2.5 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | LIGHT YEARS GLORY XB H Bowman · D Eustace | H Bowman | D Eustace | 5 | 4.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | IVY LEAGUE SR-/CP1/TT R Kingscote · D J Whyte | R Kingscote | D J Whyte | 2 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | VERY GRATEFUL V/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 1 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | PRESTIGE SUPERIOR H/TT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 6 | 144.0 | 11-1/2 |
| — | 0 | AESTHETICISM B2 · P C Ng | — | P C Ng | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | KING OF SELECTION · D J Hall | — | D J Hall | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GORGEOUS VICTORY | 32.6% | 3.07 | 8 |
| 2 | 1 | SKY DEEP | 15.1% | 6.64 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | LIGHT YEARS GLORY | 13.0% | 7.69 | 9 |
| 4 | 4 | TAKE ACTION | 9.3% | 10.78 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | IVY LEAGUE | 6.8% | 14.67 | 10 |
| 6 | 5 | VERY GRATEFUL | 6.2% | 16.19 | 11 |
| 7 | 9 | PRESTIGE RICKY | 5.7% | 17.70 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | LUCKY TOGETHER | 3.7% | 26.77 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | SHAMZ | 2.9% | 34.92 | 1 |
| 10 | 10 | GAZELEY | 2.1% | 48.13 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | WHOWROTETHATSONG | 1.6% | 64.32 | 7 |
| 12 | 11 | PRESTIGE SUPERIOR | 1.2% | 80.88 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 382.5
PLACE
1 24.5
6 77
9 33.5
QUINELLA
1,6 1,358
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 343
1,9 152.5
6,9 500
FORECAST
6,1 3,465
TIERCE
6,1,9 34,829
TRIO
1,6,9 4,458
FIRST 4
1,4,6,9 2,917
QUARTET
6,1,9,4 120,913
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3RD DOUBLE
10/1 32.5
10/6 1,567