Happy Valley · 2026-07-15 · 20:00
SWEET ORANGE HANDICAP
Race 4
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SHAMZ Closed strongly TT 1:39.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 12 | 38.0 | — |
| 2 | 1 | SKY DEEP PC/XB J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 3 | 7.2 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | PRESTIGE RICKY Closed strongly E2/TT K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 9 | 13.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | TAKE ACTION Closed strongly B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 7 | 8.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | LUCKY TOGETHER Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 4 | 19.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | GAZELEY B-/XB/V1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 57.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | WHOWROTETHATSONG Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 8 | 65.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | GORGEOUS VICTORY Led early TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 2.5 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | LIGHT YEARS GLORY XB H Bowman · D Eustace | H Bowman | D Eustace | 5 | 4.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | IVY LEAGUE SR-/CP1/TT R Kingscote · D J Whyte | R Kingscote | D J Whyte | 2 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | VERY GRATEFUL V/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 1 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | PRESTIGE SUPERIOR H/TT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 6 | 144.0 | 11-1/2 |
| — | 0 | AESTHETICISM B2 · P C Ng | — | P C Ng | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | KING OF SELECTION · D J Hall | — | D J Hall | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 ("SWEET ORANGE HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-07-15 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SHAMZ, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by A S Cruz, won, with SKY DEEP second and PRESTIGE RICKY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite GORGEOUS VICTORY finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | GORGEOUS VICTORY | 32.6% | 3.07 | 8 |
| 2 | 1 | SKY DEEP | 15.1% | 6.64 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | LIGHT YEARS GLORY | 13.0% | 7.69 | 9 |
| 4 | 4 | TAKE ACTION | 9.3% | 10.78 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | IVY LEAGUE | 6.8% | 14.67 | 10 |
| 6 | 5 | VERY GRATEFUL | 6.2% | 16.19 | 11 |
| 7 | 9 | PRESTIGE RICKY | 5.7% | 17.70 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | LUCKY TOGETHER | 3.7% | 26.77 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | SHAMZ | 2.9% | 34.92 | 1 |
| 10 | 10 | GAZELEY | 2.1% | 48.13 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | WHOWROTETHATSONG | 1.6% | 64.32 | 7 |
| 12 | 11 | PRESTIGE SUPERIOR | 1.2% | 80.88 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 382.5
PLACE
1 24.5
6 77
9 33.5
QUINELLA
1,6 1,358
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 343
1,9 152.5
6,9 500
FORECAST
6,1 3,465
TIERCE
6,1,9 34,829
TRIO
1,6,9 4,458
FIRST 4
1,4,6,9 2,917
QUARTET
6,1,9,4 120,913
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
10/1 32.5
10/6 1,567