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Happy Valley · 2026-07-15 · 10:30

SILVER GRECIAN HANDICAP

Race 1

Class 5 GOOD 1650m Course C 12 runners

Race 1 ("SILVER GRECIAN HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-07-15 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. FASHION LEGEND, ridden by J Moreira and trained by D Eustace, won, with TELECOM POWER second and LUCKY BLESSING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite LUCKY BLESSING finished 3rd.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.73

Result

Official · 1:40.05
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 FASHION LEGEND Closed strongly V-/B2/TT 1:40.05 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · D Eustace 2 11.0
2 11 TELECOM POWER Closed strongly V M Chadwick · Y S Tsui 8 6.0 1/2
3 10 LUCKY BLESSING Led early TT K C Leung · W K Mo 7 4.0 3/4
4 12 PERFECTO MOMENTS Closed strongly CP M L Yeung · K H Ting 11 7.1 2-1/2
5 9 KASA PAPA Closed strongly CP/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz 1 7.5 4-1/2
6 2 CONRAD THE GREAT SR/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte 3 12.0 6-1/4
7 5 SETANTA Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham 12 18.0 6-1/2
8 8 CELESTIAL HARMONY Closed strongly XB L Hewitson · B Crawford 9 33.0 6-1/2
9 6 TO INFINITY A Atzeni · J Richards 6 27.0 11
10 1 EMERGING STAR Closed strongly B-/CP1/TT R Kingscote · C W Chang 10 70.0 11-1/4
11 4 OUR LUCKY GLORY CP-/TT A Badel · W Y So 4 16.0 17-1/2
12 7 VIVA BOSS H/TT Z Purton · K L Man 5 6.4 25-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FASHION LEGEND2. TELECOM POWER+0.5L3. LUCKY BLESSING+0.75L4. PERFECTO MOMENTS+2.5L5. KASA PAPA+4.5L6. CONRAD THE GREAT+6.25L7. SETANTA+6.5L8. CELESTIAL HARMONY+6.5L9. TO INFINITY+11L10. EMERGING STAR+11.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick FASHION LEGEND (14.0%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 FASHION LEGEND 14.0% 7.13 1
2 7 VIVA BOSS 13.9% 7.17 12
3 2 CONRAD THE GREAT 12.6% 7.96 6
4 9 KASA PAPA 11.7% 8.56 5
5 12 PERFECTO MOMENTS 9.8% 10.21 4
6 11 TELECOM POWER 9.8% 10.22 2
7 5 SETANTA 7.9% 12.66 7
8 4 OUR LUCKY GLORY 7.5% 13.25 11
9 10 LUCKY BLESSING 5.3% 18.76 3
10 8 CELESTIAL HARMONY 3.6% 27.67 8
11 6 TO INFINITY 2.5% 40.63 9
12 1 EMERGING STAR 1.4% 73.70 10
FASHION LEGEND — wonVIVA BOSSCONRAD THE GREATKASA PAPAPERFECTO MOMENTSTELECOM POWERSETANTAOUR LUCKY GLORYLUCKY BLESSINGCELESTIAL HARMONYTO INFINITYEMERGING STAR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 111

PLACE

3 36.5

10 18.5

11 20.5

QUINELLA

3,11 304.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,10 108

3,11 100

10,11 58

FORECAST

3,11 775

TIERCE

3,11,10 4,908

TRIO

3,10,11 672

FIRST 4

3,10,11,12 1,036

QUARTET

3,11,10,12 31,053