Happy Valley · 2026-07-15 · 11:30
TURIN WARRIOR HANDICAP
Race 3
Race 3 ("TURIN WARRIOR HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-07-15 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. KYRUS TREASURE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by D Eustace, won, with ROMANTIC LAOS second and SERANGOON third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | KYRUS TREASURE Wire to wire 1:49.23 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · D Eustace | J Moreira | D Eustace | 6 | 3.0 | — |
| 2 | 4 | ROMANTIC LAOS Closed strongly CP/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 3 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | SERANGOON Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 7 | 33.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | CASA ROCHESTER Closed strongly L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 2 | 4.9 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | FIREFOOT B/TT J Orman · W Y So | J Orman | W Y So | 8 | 7.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | STORM RUNNER Closed strongly PC/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 12 | 18.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | NOBLE PURSUIT B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 1 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | OCEAN IMPACT CP/SR K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 9 | 6.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | FAST SPEED CP-/TT P N Wong · Y S Tsui | P N Wong | Y S Tsui | 4 | 51.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | VOLCANIC SPARK Closed strongly B C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 11 | 32.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | HARMONY GALAXY TT B Avdulla · C S Shum | B Avdulla | C S Shum | 5 | 16.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | NORTHERN BEAST CP M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 26.0 | 7-3/4 |
| — | 0 | CAN'T GO WONG B/TT · F C Lor | — | F C Lor | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | NOISY BOY TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | KYRUS TREASURE | 39.8% | 2.51 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | CASA ROCHESTER | 10.9% | 9.19 | 4 |
| 3 | 9 | NOBLE PURSUIT | 10.2% | 9.80 | 7 |
| 4 | 8 | FIREFOOT | 9.3% | 10.71 | 5 |
| 5 | 12 | OCEAN IMPACT | 5.8% | 17.27 | 8 |
| 6 | 1 | HARMONY GALAXY | 5.7% | 17.45 | 11 |
| 7 | 4 | ROMANTIC LAOS | 5.6% | 17.89 | 2 |
| 8 | 6 | STORM RUNNER | 2.8% | 35.58 | 6 |
| 9 | 11 | NORTHERN BEAST | 2.7% | 37.26 | 12 |
| 10 | 5 | SERANGOON | 2.5% | 39.73 | 3 |
| 11 | 3 | VOLCANIC SPARK | 2.4% | 41.40 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | FAST SPEED | 2.2% | 45.06 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 30
PLACE
4 35
5 80.5
10 14.5
QUINELLA
4,10 198.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 486.5
4,10 76.5
5,10 194.5
FORECAST
10,4 310
TIERCE
10,4,5 6,439
TRIO
4,5,10 1,942
FIRST 4
2,4,5,10 2,389
QUARTET
10,4,5,2 40,426
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,9,10/4,5,10 107,765
2ND DOUBLE
10/4 543.5
10/10 1,286.5