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Happy Valley · 2026-07-15 · 11:00

FAST MOST FURIOUS HANDICAP

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course C 12 runners

Race 2 ("FAST MOST FURIOUS HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-07-15 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. STARRY SHOW, ridden by R Kingscote and trained by D A Hayes, won, with LOVING VIBES second and GENIUS BABY third. The 3.5 favourite LOVING VIBES finished 2nd.

Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.73 #11 JOLLY COMPANION — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:09.29
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 STARRY SHOW B 1:09.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Kingscote · D A Hayes 4 30.0
2 9 LOVING VIBES CP2/TT A Atzeni · M Newnham 5 3.5 1-3/4
3 4 GENIUS BABY CP-/XB/V1/TT K Teetan · B Crawford 3 4.4 1-3/4
4 2 WINNING MONEY B/XB L Ferraris · K W Lui 8 5.7 2
5 8 LUCK IS BACK B E C W Wong · P C Ng 6 10.0 3-1/2
6 12 LEAN MASTER B/TT P N Wong · C H Yip 11 9.2 3-3/4
7 6 I AM BACK SR-/TT J Moreira · C Fownes 2 11.0 4-1/4
8 1 FIND MY LOVE B/TT H Bowman · D J Whyte 7 8.8 4-1/4
9 11 JOLLY COMPANION V/TT K C Leung · K L Man 10 23.0 5
10 7 FREE PONY P- M L Yeung · C W Chang 12 52.0 5-3/4
11 3 JOLLY BONUS M F Poon · F C Lor 1 51.0 7-1/2
12 5 EXCEPTIONAL SANTOS H/TT Y L Chung · W Y So 9 77.0 7-1/2
0 GOOD LUCK BABE B/TT · A S Cruz
0 SWAGGER BRO B2 · J Richards

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. STARRY SHOW2. LOVING VIBES+1.75L3. GENIUS BABY+1.75L4. WINNING MONEY+2L5. LUCK IS BACK+3.5L6. LEAN MASTER+3.75L7. I AM BACK+4.25L8. FIND MY LOVE+4.25L9. JOLLY COMPANION+5L10. FREE PONY+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick LOVING VIBES (36.0%) finished 2nd — the winner STARRY SHOW was rated #11. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 LOVING VIBES 36.0% 2.78 2
2 4 GENIUS BABY 23.5% 4.25 3
3 2 WINNING MONEY 8.8% 11.37 4
4 1 FIND MY LOVE 6.0% 16.64 8
5 11 JOLLY COMPANION 4.7% 21.14 9
6 6 I AM BACK 4.2% 24.01 7
7 3 JOLLY BONUS 3.8% 26.43 11
8 8 LUCK IS BACK 3.8% 26.67 5
9 12 LEAN MASTER 3.7% 26.93 6
10 7 FREE PONY 2.5% 39.34 10
11 10 STARRY SHOW 1.8% 55.38 1
12 5 EXCEPTIONAL SANTOS 1.2% 82.26 12
LOVING VIBESGENIUS BABYWINNING MONEYFIND MY LOVEJOLLY COMPANIONI AM BACKJOLLY BONUSLUCK IS BACKLEAN MASTERFREE PONYSTARRY SHOW — wonEXCEPTIONAL SANTOS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 303.5

PLACE

4 15.5

9 15

10 69

QUINELLA

9,10 659

QUINELLA PLACE

4,9 32

4,10 179

9,10 201.5

FORECAST

10,9 1,745

TIERCE

10,9,4 7,156

TRIO

4,9,10 544

FIRST 4

2,4,9,10 614

QUARTET

10,9,4,2 25,417

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

3/9 52

3/10 4,790.5