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Happy Valley · 2026-07-15 · 13:35

ENCOUNTERED HANDICAP

Race 7

Class 3 GOOD 1650m Course C 12 runners

Race 7 ("ENCOUNTERED HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-07-15 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. THRIVING BROTHERS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C H Yip, won, with CALL ME TOPSEED second and SUPER UNICORN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite SOMELOVEFROMABOVE finished 5th.

Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.73 #9 CLASS — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:39.41
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 11 THRIVING BROTHERS Closed strongly TT 1:39.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C H Yip 8 3.8
2 4 CALL ME TOPSEED Closed strongly B/TT J Orman · K L Man 10 16.0 1/2
3 8 SUPER UNICORN Closed strongly CP M Chadwick · M Newnham 11 9.7 1/2
4 1 WINNING DRAGON Closed strongly TT A Badel · A S Cruz 6 15.0 3-3/4
5 10 SOMELOVEFROMABOVE PC- J Moreira · C Fownes 1 3.0 5
6 3 A AMERIC TE SPECSO Closed strongly B A Atzeni · J Size 12 7.5 5-1/2
7 12 WINNING BUDDIES M L Yeung · K H Ting 3 11.0 5-3/4
8 7 HAPPY TERCENTENARY Closed strongly SR-/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte 9 40.0 5-3/4
9 9 CLASS Led early V/TT E C W Wong · P F Yiu 2 38.0 6-1/4
10 2 PASS LINE M F Poon · D J Hall 7 43.0 6-1/2
11 6 TRUE BROTHERS B1 P N Wong · Y S Tsui 5 21.0 7-1/2
12 5 I CAN B-/H/TT K C Leung · P C Ng 4 19.0 13
0 FLYING FORTUNE TT · W K Mo
0 GENERAL REDWOOD CP/TT · C S Shum

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. THRIVING BROTHERS2. CALL ME TOPSEED+0.5L3. SUPER UNICORN+0.5L4. WINNING DRAGON+3.75L5. SOMELOVEFROMABOVE+5L6. A AMERIC TE SPECSO+5.5L7. WINNING BUDDIES+5.75L8. HAPPY TERCENTENARY+5.75L9. CLASS+6.25L10. PASS LINE+6.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SOMELOVEFROMABOVE (42.7%) finished 5th — the winner THRIVING BROTHERS was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 10 SOMELOVEFROMABOVE 42.7% 2.34 5
2 11 THRIVING BROTHERS 10.4% 9.58 1
3 3 A AMERIC TE SPECSO 10.2% 9.85 6
4 8 SUPER UNICORN 7.2% 13.91 3
5 1 WINNING DRAGON 5.7% 17.64 4
6 4 CALL ME TOPSEED 4.9% 20.40 2
7 9 CLASS 4.3% 23.09 9
8 12 WINNING BUDDIES 4.2% 23.97 7
9 5 I CAN 3.7% 27.16 12
10 6 TRUE BROTHERS 2.7% 36.76 11
11 2 PASS LINE 2.2% 46.40 10
12 7 HAPPY TERCENTENARY 1.8% 54.08 8
SOMELOVEFROMABOVETHRIVING BROTHERS — wonA AMERIC TE SPECSOSUPER UNICORNWINNING DRAGONCALL ME TOPSEEDCLASSWINNING BUDDIESI CANTRUE BROTHERSPASS LINEHAPPY TERCENTENARY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 38.5

PLACE

4 44

8 22.5

11 14.5

QUINELLA

4,11 286.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,8 181.5

4,11 101.5

8,11 62

FORECAST

11,4 567

TIERCE

11,4,8 3,943

TRIO

4,8,11 887

FIRST 4

1,4,8,11 1,938

QUARTET

11,4,8,1 40,925

All pools (3 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

6,9,11/4,8,11 403,656

6TH DOUBLE

6/4 234.5

6/11 487

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,9,12/6,9,11/Any Combination 41,843