Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2026-07-15 · 13:00

SUPER OASIS HANDICAP

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course C 12 runners

Race 6 ("SUPER OASIS HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-07-15 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GRATIFIDE, ridden by R Kingscote and trained by D Eustace, won, with FORZA LEADER second and PERFECT TRIUMPH third. The 3.2 favourite LITTLE MONSTER finished 11th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.73

Result

Official · 1:09.89
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 GRATIFIDE B 1:09.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Kingscote · D Eustace 3 7.6
2 11 FORZA LEADER TT K Teetan · Y S Tsui 11 15.0 SH
3 9 PERFECT TRIUMPH SR1/TT J Moreira · C Fownes 10 33.0 1/2
4 1 ARMOUR WAR EAGLE CP/TT A Atzeni · M Newnham 6 9.4 1-1/2
5 4 COPARTNER FLEET XB/V1 C Y Ho · K W Lui 1 12.0 2
6 10 MARVEL AND GOLD E/TT Y L Chung · C H Yip 9 43.0 3
7 2 HEALTHY HEALTHY PC L Hewitson · P C Ng 7 16.0 3-1/4
8 12 STORMY KNIGHT M L Yeung · D A Hayes 12 54.0 3-3/4
9 5 GIANT LEAP E/V M F Poon · P F Yiu 8 7.0 4-1/4
10 7 DOUBLE ALPHA TT H Bowman · C S Shum 2 4.3 7
11 8 LITTLE MONSTER H/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 5 3.2 8
12 3 REAL GENTLEMAN H/TT H T Mo · K L Man 4 40.0 16-1/4
0 DAN ATTACK XB · D J Whyte
0 SMILING SKY · K H Ting

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GRATIFIDE2. FORZA LEADER+0.1L3. PERFECT TRIUMPH+0.5L4. ARMOUR WAR EAGLE+1.5L5. COPARTNER FLEET+2L6. MARVEL AND GOLD+3L7. HEALTHY HEALTHY+3.25L8. STORMY KNIGHT+3.75L9. GIANT LEAP+4.25L10. DOUBLE ALPHA+7L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick GIANT LEAP (19.2%) finished 9th — the winner GRATIFIDE was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 GIANT LEAP 19.2% 5.21 9
2 7 DOUBLE ALPHA 15.1% 6.63 10
3 8 LITTLE MONSTER 12.5% 7.98 11
4 6 GRATIFIDE 11.9% 8.41 1
5 1 ARMOUR WAR EAGLE 10.4% 9.59 4
6 11 FORZA LEADER 7.7% 12.97 2
7 4 COPARTNER FLEET 6.5% 15.36 5
8 2 HEALTHY HEALTHY 4.8% 20.96 7
9 3 REAL GENTLEMAN 4.0% 25.29 12
10 10 MARVEL AND GOLD 3.3% 30.49 6
11 9 PERFECT TRIUMPH 2.5% 39.82 3
12 12 STORMY KNIGHT 2.2% 46.49 8
GIANT LEAPDOUBLE ALPHALITTLE MONSTERGRATIFIDE — wonARMOUR WAR EAGLEFORZA LEADERCOPARTNER FLEETHEALTHY HEALTHYREAL GENTLEMANMARVEL AND GOLDPERFECT TRIUMPHSTORMY KNIGHT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 76.5

PLACE

6 23.5

9 83.5

11 37.5

QUINELLA

6,11 540

QUINELLA PLACE

6,9 457.5

6,11 152

9,11 490.5

FORECAST

6,11 1,047

TIERCE

6,11,9 25,468

TRIO

6,9,11 5,437

FIRST 4

1,6,9,11 5,049

QUARTET

6,11,9,1 146,243

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

12/6 961

12/11 304.5