Happy Valley · 2020-04-08
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2020-04-08 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. FOCUS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P F Yiu, won by N, with ELECTRIC LIGHTNING second and HAPPY WARRIOR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite CHARITY GRAND finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | FOCUS Closed strongly B- 1.39.76 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 10 | 11.0 | N |
| 2 | 12 | ELECTRIC LIGHTNING Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · D E Ferraris | K C Leung | D E Ferraris | 3 | 25.0 | N |
| 3 | 1 | HAPPY WARRIOR Closed strongly CP N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 6 | 8.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | ROYAL RACER Closed strongly B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 5 | 9.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | CHARITY GRAND B/TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 2 | 2.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | LET'S TAKE IT EASY CP-/B1 Z Purton · L Ho | Z Purton | L Ho | 1 | 3.4 | 2 |
| 7 | 11 | VITAL SPRING Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 9 | POLYMER LUCK Led early B C Wong · K H Ting | C Wong | K H Ting | 12 | 37.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | INDIGENOUS STAR Closed strongly TT H W Lai · C W Chang | H W Lai | C W Chang | 4 | 41.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | FUN TIMES B C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 11 | 20.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | MY FAMILY Closed strongly V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 9 | 29.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | SOCKET ELITE CP1/TT T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 7 | 345.0 | 17-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CHARITY GRAND | 42.0% | 2.38 | 5 |
| 2 | 2 | LET'S TAKE IT EASY | 17.2% | 5.81 | 6 |
| 3 | 7 | ROYAL RACER | 8.2% | 12.25 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | HAPPY WARRIOR | 7.2% | 13.81 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | VITAL SPRING | 6.5% | 15.50 | 7 |
| 6 | 5 | FUN TIMES | 4.6% | 21.69 | 10 |
| 7 | 8 | FOCUS | 4.3% | 23.03 | 1 |
| 8 | 9 | POLYMER LUCK | 4.1% | 24.34 | 8 |
| 9 | 4 | MY FAMILY | 2.1% | 48.74 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | ELECTRIC LIGHTNING | 1.9% | 52.72 | 2 |
| 11 | 6 | INDIGENOUS STAR | 1.4% | 69.30 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | SOCKET ELITE | 0.5% | 187.57 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 110
PLACE
1 23
8 27
12 56
QUINELLA
8,12 1,306.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 123
1,12 218.5
8,12 355.5
TIERCE
8,12,1 23,213
TRIO
1,8,12 2,621
FIRST 4
1,7,8,12 4,815
QUARTET
8,12,1,7 142,734
1ST DOUBLE
6/8 5,205
6/12 1,282.5
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 35
A1 —