Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2020-04-08

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD 1650m Course B 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.39.76
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 FOCUS Closed strongly B- 1.39.76 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P F Yiu 10 11.0 N
2 0 ELECTRIC LIGHTNING Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · D E Ferraris 3 25.0 N
3 0 HAPPY WARRIOR Closed strongly CP N Callan · J Moore 6 8.6 1-1/4
4 0 ROYAL RACER Closed strongly B Shinn · C Fownes 5 9.0 1-1/2
5 0 CHARITY GRAND B/TT J Moreira · C S Shum 2 2.7 1-1/2
6 0 LET'S TAKE IT EASY CP-/B1 Z Purton · L Ho 1 3.4 2
7 0 VITAL SPRING Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · K W Lui 8 16.0 2
8 0 POLYMER LUCK Led early B C Wong · K H Ting 12 37.0 3-3/4
9 0 INDIGENOUS STAR Closed strongly TT H W Lai · C W Chang 4 41.0 3-3/4
10 0 FUN TIMES B C Schofield · A T Millard 11 20.0 5-1/2
11 0 MY FAMILY Closed strongly V Borges · Y S Tsui 9 29.0 7-1/2
12 0 SOCKET ELITE CP1/TT T H So · C H Yip 7 345.0 17-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2020-04-08 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. FOCUS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P F Yiu, won by N, with ELECTRIC LIGHTNING second and HAPPY WARRIOR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite CHARITY GRAND finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FOCUS—2. ELECTRIC LIGHTNING+0.05L3. HAPPY WARRIOR+1.25L4. ROYAL RACER+1.5L5. CHARITY GRAND+1.5L6. LET'S TAKE IT EASY+2L7. VITAL SPRING+2L8. POLYMER LUCK+3.75L9. INDIGENOUS STAR+3.75L10. FUN TIMES+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick CHARITY GRAND (42.0%) finished 5th — the winner FOCUS was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 CHARITY GRAND 42.0% 2.38 5
2 0 LET'S TAKE IT EASY 17.2% 5.81 6
3 0 ROYAL RACER 8.2% 12.25 4
4 0 HAPPY WARRIOR 7.2% 13.81 3
5 0 VITAL SPRING 6.5% 15.50 7
6 0 FUN TIMES 4.6% 21.69 10
7 0 FOCUS 4.3% 23.03 1
8 0 POLYMER LUCK 4.1% 24.34 8
9 0 MY FAMILY 2.1% 48.74 11
10 0 ELECTRIC LIGHTNING 1.9% 52.72 2
11 0 INDIGENOUS STAR 1.4% 69.30 9
12 0 SOCKET ELITE 0.5% 187.57 12
CHARITY GRANDLET'S TAKE IT EASYROYAL RACERHAPPY WARRIORVITAL SPRINGFUN TIMESFOCUS — wonPOLYMER LUCKMY FAMILYELECTRIC LIGHTNINGINDIGENOUS STARSOCKET ELITE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 110

PLACE

1 23

8 27

12 56

QUINELLA

8,12 1,306.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,8 123

1,12 218.5

8,12 355.5

TIERCE

8,12,1 23,213

TRIO

1,8,12 2,621

FIRST 4

1,7,8,12 4,815

QUARTET

8,12,1,7 142,734

1ST DOUBLE

6/8 5,205

6/12 1,282.5

All pools (1 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 —

A3 35