Happy Valley · 2020-04-08
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAR AGAIN Closed strongly SR 1.39.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 1 | 6.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 9 | 6.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | FARSHAD Closed strongly CP M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 4 | 7.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | WIND GLIDER Closed strongly B/TT N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 40.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | GREEN REIGN Closed strongly B C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 6.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | GOOD OMEN Closed strongly V M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 11 | 31.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | HOLY HEART B/TT Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 2 | 2.4 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | BRAVE LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 7 | 18.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SMOOTHIES Led early TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 3 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | TRAVEL FIRST B-/TT T H So · C W Chang | T H So | C W Chang | 10 | 98.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | THE DRIVE TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 12 | 154.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | LAOS ENLIGHTENMENT B/TT V Borges · J Moore | V Borges | J Moore | 6 | 65.0 | 16-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2020-04-08 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. BEAR AGAIN, ridden by B Shinn and trained by D E Ferraris, won by 1-1/4, with FLASH FAMOUS second and FARSHAD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite HOLY HEART finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HOLY HEART | 25.5% | 3.93 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | BEAR AGAIN | 15.4% | 6.48 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS | 12.1% | 8.28 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | GREEN REIGN | 11.8% | 8.45 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | SMOOTHIES | 11.7% | 8.54 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | FARSHAD | 8.8% | 11.33 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | GOOD OMEN | 4.7% | 21.18 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | BRAVE LEGEND | 4.4% | 22.68 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | WIND GLIDER | 1.9% | 53.28 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | LAOS ENLIGHTENMENT | 1.4% | 69.91 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | TRAVEL FIRST | 1.1% | 87.53 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | THE DRIVE | 1.1% | 92.20 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 64.5
PLACE
4 19.5
7 20.5
8 22.5
QUINELLA
4,7 166
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 60.5
4,8 63
7,8 63.5
TIERCE
4,7,8 1,662
TRIO
4,7,8 340
FIRST 4
4,7,8,9 1,421
QUARTET
4,7,8,9 23,663
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 18
A2 —
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
9/4 230.5
9/7 44