Happy Valley · 2020-04-08
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GOOD SHOT XB1 1.10.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 3 | 46.0 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | SUPER ALLIANCES J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 2.4 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | THE SHOW B M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 1 | 7.4 | N |
| 4 | 0 | JOLLY CONVERGENCE B-/CP2 K H Chan · R Gibson | K H Chan | R Gibson | 9 | 34.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | LUCKY QUALITY B1 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 8.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | DAILY DELIGHT XB1 B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 10 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | GOLDEN GLORY B/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 5 | 26.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | MASTER ALBERT B/E/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 11 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | HARMONY N HOME Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 12 | 7.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | WINNER'S HEART B-/V1 N Callan · F C Lor | N Callan | F C Lor | 8 | 7.6 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | MANY GAINS V1 C Wong · K L Man | C Wong | K L Man | 2 | 217.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | ALL TIMES GRATEFUL B T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 6 | 32.0 | 5 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2020-04-08 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GOOD SHOT, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by D J Hall, won by SH, with SUPER ALLIANCES second and THE SHOW third. The 2.4 favourite SUPER ALLIANCES finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUPER ALLIANCES | 19.0% | 5.27 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | HARMONY N HOME | 13.8% | 7.27 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | LUCKY QUALITY | 12.4% | 8.10 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | MASTER ALBERT | 10.8% | 9.29 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | GOLDEN GLORY | 9.5% | 10.50 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | WINNER'S HEART | 9.0% | 11.15 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | THE SHOW | 7.2% | 13.92 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | MANY GAINS | 4.9% | 20.53 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | JOLLY CONVERGENCE | 4.3% | 23.11 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | GOOD SHOT | 3.1% | 31.81 | 1 |
| 11 | 0 | ALL TIMES GRATEFUL | 3.1% | 32.45 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | DAILY DELIGHT | 3.0% | 32.90 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 467
PLACE
6 139
10 12.5
11 23.5
QUINELLA
6,10 705.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 253.5
6,11 590.5
10,11 34.5
TIERCE
6,10,11 9,898
TRIO
6,10,11 1,205
FIRST 4
6,7,10,11 6,840
QUARTET
6,10,11,7 150,389
2ND DOUBLE
8/6 11,607
8/10 80
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 34.5
A1 —