Happy Valley · 2020-06-10
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2020-06-10 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ETERNAL HARVEST, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/4, with DIAMOND BRILLIANT second and CANTSTOPTHEFEELING third. The 3.3 favourite FLYING GENIUS finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | ETERNAL HARVEST 0.56.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 5 | 7.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT CP-/B2/TT A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 1 | 7.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING B/TT N Callan · K H Ting | N Callan | K H Ting | 4 | 19.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | GREEN AEON J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 8 | 4.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | POISED TO STRIKE V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 10 | 77.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | FLYING BONUS K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 9 | 8.4 | 6-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | SHANGHAI GRACE T H So · Y S Tsui | T H So | Y S Tsui | 3 | 108.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 4 | METRO WARRIOR CP Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 6 | 4.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | FLYING GENIUS TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 2 | 3.3 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | SUNNY LAD B/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 7 | 103.0 | 11-3/4 |
| — | 9 | AMAZING KIWI C Schofield · D J Whyte | C Schofield | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FLYING GENIUS | 23.3% | 4.29 | 9 |
| 2 | 4 | METRO WARRIOR | 20.0% | 4.99 | 8 |
| 3 | 5 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT | 16.2% | 6.16 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | ETERNAL HARVEST | 15.3% | 6.52 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | GREEN AEON | 10.5% | 9.55 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | FLYING BONUS | 7.2% | 13.96 | 6 |
| 7 | 2 | POISED TO STRIKE | 2.9% | 33.97 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING | 2.8% | 35.91 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | SUNNY LAD | 1.2% | 85.48 | 10 |
| 10 | 11 | SHANGHAI GRACE | 0.6% | 177.79 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 74.5
PLACE
5 18.5
8 50.5
10 24.5
QUINELLA
5,10 268.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 197.5
5,10 79
8,10 231
TIERCE
10,5,8 6,385
TRIO
5,8,10 1,587
FIRST 4
1,5,8,10 1,511
QUARTET
10,5,8,1 38,886
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 21.5
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
1/5 89.5
1/10 617