Happy Valley · 2020-06-10
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GREEN LUCK Closed strongly 1.40.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 7 | 6.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | ALPHA HEDGE Closed strongly CP C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 8.1 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | BRAVE KING Closed strongly SR C Schofield · D J Whyte | C Schofield | D J Whyte | 3 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | DELIGHTFUL LAOS Closed strongly TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 6 | 8.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | WIND GLIDER Closed strongly B/TT T H So · P O'Sullivan | T H So | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 37.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | SURREALISM Closed strongly B B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 9 | 14.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | TURIN REDSTAR CP-/V1/TT- V Borges · L Ho | V Borges | L Ho | 11 | 22.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | BUNDLE OF DELIGHT Closed strongly H M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 1 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT Led early B K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 12 | 19.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | CINQUANTE CINQ Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 4 | 2.8 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR B/TT A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 5 | 10.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | RICKFIELD XB C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 8 | 57.0 | 8-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2020-06-10 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GREEN LUCK, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won by 3/4, with ALPHA HEDGE second and BRAVE KING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite CINQUANTE CINQ finished 10th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CINQUANTE CINQ | 27.6% | 3.63 | 10 |
| 2 | 0 | DELIGHTFUL LAOS | 14.4% | 6.96 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | GREEN LUCK | 11.3% | 8.84 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR | 9.4% | 10.62 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | BRAVE KING | 8.2% | 12.27 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT | 7.4% | 13.54 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | ALPHA HEDGE | 5.4% | 18.54 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | SURREALISM | 5.0% | 19.98 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | WIND GLIDER | 4.3% | 23.49 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | BUNDLE OF DELIGHT | 3.3% | 30.02 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | TURIN REDSTAR | 2.2% | 45.22 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | RICKFIELD | 1.6% | 62.68 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 61.5
PLACE
1 23
9 29
10 27.5
QUINELLA
1,9 363
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 124
1,10 140.5
9,10 163
TIERCE
1,9,10 8,216
TRIO
1,9,10 1,470
FIRST 4
1,7,9,10 1,459
QUARTET
1,9,10,7 33,989
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,9,11/1,9,10 15,004
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 19.5
6TH DOUBLE
4/1 98.5
4/9 40
TRIPLE TRIO
1,4,11/4,9,11/1,9,10 7,307,990
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,4,11/4,9,11/Any Combination 6,410