Happy Valley · 2020-12-16
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BUNDLE OF DELIGHT Closed strongly 1.49.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 2 | 3.9 | NOSE |
| 2 | 0 | EXALTATION Closed strongly V/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 8 | 5.6 | NOSE |
| 3 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR B/TT A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 3 | 4.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | INDIGENOUS STAR Closed strongly TT M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 7 | 20.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CHEERFUL STAR Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 9 | 6.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | MAGNETISM B/TT B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 4 | 22.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE Closed strongly T Piccone · Y S Tsui | T Piccone | Y S Tsui | 10 | 83.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER Closed strongly B M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 9.2 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | GREAT TIMES B C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 1 | 65.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SWEETLY BABY B-/H-/V1/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 6 | 6.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | PRETTY CUTE Led early B1/TT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 11 | 51.0 | 9-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2020-12-16 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. BUNDLE OF DELIGHT, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by NOSE, with EXALTATION second and OWNERS' STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.9 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SWEETLY BABY | 20.8% | 4.82 | 10 |
| 2 | 0 | BUNDLE OF DELIGHT | 20.5% | 4.89 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | EXALTATION | 17.3% | 5.77 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR | 16.0% | 6.25 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | CHEERFUL STAR | 10.6% | 9.47 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER | 4.7% | 21.29 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | INDIGENOUS STAR | 4.6% | 21.65 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | PRETTY CUTE | 1.6% | 62.60 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | GREAT TIMES | 1.5% | 65.69 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | MAGNETISM | 1.5% | 68.90 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE | 1.0% | 98.52 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 39
PLACE
1 16.5
2 15.5
11 22
QUINELLA
2,11 115
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 33.5
1,11 53
2,11 44
FORECAST
2,11 208
TIERCE
2,11,1 739
TRIO
1,2,11 154
FIRST 4
1,2,9,11 658
QUARTET
2,11,1,9 9,646
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 21.5
A2 —
A3 —