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Happy Valley · 2020-12-16

Race 6

Class 3 GOOD 1650m Course C 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.39.59
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 DELIGHTFUL LAOS Closed strongly B/TT 1.39.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · A S Cruz 10 15.0 3/4
2 0 THE ROCK Closed strongly H- J Moreira · C Fownes 6 3.3 3/4
3 0 WEALTHY DELIGHT Closed strongly A Badel · J Size 8 14.0 1-1/2
4 0 TOYCOON Closed strongly H/XB M Chadwick · P F Yiu 4 26.0 2
5 0 CHATER PINS Closed strongly XB M L Yeung · D A Hayes 9 112.0 3-1/4
6 0 FARSHAD CP A Hamelin · Y S Tsui 5 19.0 3-3/4
7 0 ANGEL OF MY EYES TT Z Purton · C S Shum 12 3.9 6
8 0 TOTAL POWER B M F Poon · D J Hall 7 5.2 6-1/2
9 0 AMAZING BEATS CP/TT K Teetan · P O'Sullivan 3 13.0 8-1/2
10 0 CABLE SPEED Closed strongly V Borges · R Gibson 11 194.0 11
11 0 MISSION TYCOON Led early B/TT K H Chan · F C Lor 2 45.0 18-1/4
12 0 ENTRUSTED T Piccone · D J Whyte 1 7.8 20

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2020-12-16 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. DELIGHTFUL LAOS, ridden by C L Chau and trained by A S Cruz, won by 3/4, with THE ROCK second and WEALTHY DELIGHT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite THE ROCK finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DELIGHTFUL LAOS—2. THE ROCK+0.75L3. WEALTHY DELIGHT+1.5L4. TOYCOON+2L5. CHATER PINS+3.25L6. FARSHAD+3.75L7. ANGEL OF MY EYES+6L8. TOTAL POWER+6.5L9. AMAZING BEATS+8.5L10. CABLE SPEED+11L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick THE ROCK (20.3%) finished 2nd — the winner DELIGHTFUL LAOS was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 THE ROCK 20.3% 4.92 2
2 0 ANGEL OF MY EYES 18.7% 5.36 7
3 0 DELIGHTFUL LAOS 13.0% 7.67 1
4 0 TOTAL POWER 12.5% 8.01 8
5 0 ENTRUSTED 7.9% 12.69 12
6 0 MISSION TYCOON 7.6% 13.08 11
7 0 WEALTHY DELIGHT 7.4% 13.49 3
8 0 AMAZING BEATS 4.5% 22.40 9
9 0 FARSHAD 3.7% 26.87 6
10 0 TOYCOON 3.0% 32.93 4
11 0 CHATER PINS 0.8% 131.11 5
12 0 CABLE SPEED 0.5% 185.28 10
THE ROCKANGEL OF MY EYESDELIGHTFUL LAOS — wonTOTAL POWERENTRUSTEDMISSION TYCOONWEALTHY DELIGHTAMAZING BEATSFARSHADTOYCOONCHATER PINSCABLE SPEED

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 153

PLACE

2 14.5

3 37.5

12 35

QUINELLA

2,3 300.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 94.5

2,12 84

3,12 185

FORECAST

3,2 588

TIERCE

3,2,12 5,738

TRIO

2,3,12 721

FIRST 4

2,3,11,12 2,799

QUARTET

3,2,12,11 59,261

All pools (5 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

7,8,10/2,3,12 147,227

3 PICK 1

A2 26

A3 —

A1 —

5TH DOUBLE

8/2 22

8/3 325

TRIPLE TRIO

5,10,11/7,8,10/2,3,12 5,014,165

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

5,10,11/7,8,10/Any Combination 11,747