跑馬地 · 2020-12-16
第 6場
2020-12-16跑馬地第6場，Class 3，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、A S Cruz訓練的DELIGHTFUL LAOS勝出，贏出3/4。THE ROCK獲得亞軍；WEALTHY DELIGHT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.3倍大熱門THE ROCK跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | DELIGHTFUL LAOS 後段發力 B/TT 1.39.59 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 10 | 15.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | THE ROCK 後段發力 H- J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 6 | 3.3 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | WEALTHY DELIGHT 後段發力 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | TOYCOON 後段發力 H/XB M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 4 | 26.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | CHATER PINS 後段發力 XB M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 9 | 112.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | FARSHAD CP A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 5 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | ANGEL OF MY EYES TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 12 | 3.9 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | TOTAL POWER B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 7 | 5.2 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | AMAZING BEATS CP/TT K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 13.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | CABLE SPEED 後段發力 V Borges · R Gibson | V Borges | R Gibson | 11 | 194.0 | 11 |
| 11 | 4 | MISSION TYCOON 早段領放 B/TT K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 2 | 45.0 | 18-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | ENTRUSTED T Piccone · D J Whyte | T Piccone | D J Whyte | 1 | 7.8 | 20 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | THE ROCK | 20.3% | 4.92 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | ANGEL OF MY EYES | 18.7% | 5.36 | 7 |
| 3 | 3 | DELIGHTFUL LAOS | 13.0% | 7.67 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | TOTAL POWER | 12.5% | 8.01 | 8 |
| 5 | 9 | ENTRUSTED | 7.9% | 12.69 | 12 |
| 6 | 4 | MISSION TYCOON | 7.6% | 13.08 | 11 |
| 7 | 12 | WEALTHY DELIGHT | 7.4% | 13.49 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | AMAZING BEATS | 4.5% | 22.40 | 9 |
| 9 | 7 | FARSHAD | 3.7% | 26.87 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | TOYCOON | 3.0% | 32.93 | 4 |
| 11 | 8 | CHATER PINS | 0.8% | 131.11 | 5 |
| 12 | 5 | CABLE SPEED | 0.5% | 185.28 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 153
PLACE
2 14.5
3 37.5
12 35
QUINELLA
2,3 300.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 94.5
2,12 84
3,12 185
FORECAST
3,2 588
TIERCE
3,2,12 5,738
TRIO
2,3,12 721
FIRST 4
2,3,11,12 2,799
QUARTET
3,2,12,11 59,261
全部彩池（另 5 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
7,8,10/2,3,12 147,227
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 26
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
8/2 22
8/3 325
TRIPLE TRIO
5,10,11/7,8,10/2,3,12 5,014,165
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
5,10,11/7,8,10/Any Combination 11,747