跑馬地 · 2020-12-16
第 7場
2020-12-16跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、A S Cruz訓練的FLYING GENIUS勝出，贏出1-3/4。KURPANY獲得亞軍；SAUL'S SPECIAL獲得季軍。頭馬以3.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | FLYING GENIUS B/TT 0.56.81 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 3 | 3.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 12 | KURPANY TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 10 | 19.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | SAUL'S SPECIAL B/H C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 1 | 7.7 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | FABULOUS EIGHT TT V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 12 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT B/TT A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 6 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | HANDSOME BO BO TT B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 9 | 5.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | WILD WEST WING K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 7 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 10 | POISED TO STRIKE XB C Wong · D A Hayes | C Wong | D A Hayes | 4 | 43.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | UTOPIA LIFE V K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 5 | 76.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | WE THE SOUTH H/XB J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 11 | 4.7 | 5 |
| 11 | 5 | ORION PATCH PC/TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 2 | 116.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | MOMENT OF POWER B T Piccone · P O'Sullivan | T Piccone | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 38.0 | 7-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | FLYING GENIUS | 34.9% | 2.87 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | WE THE SOUTH | 14.1% | 7.10 | 10 |
| 3 | 6 | FABULOUS EIGHT | 11.8% | 8.45 | 4 |
| 4 | 8 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT | 9.4% | 10.66 | 5 |
| 5 | 12 | KURPANY | 7.7% | 13.01 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | WILD WEST WING | 5.2% | 19.08 | 7 |
| 7 | 2 | HANDSOME BO BO | 4.1% | 24.44 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | UTOPIA LIFE | 4.1% | 24.47 | 9 |
| 9 | 3 | SAUL'S SPECIAL | 3.4% | 29.23 | 3 |
| 10 | 9 | MOMENT OF POWER | 2.0% | 48.89 | 12 |
| 11 | 5 | ORION PATCH | 1.7% | 60.00 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | POISED TO STRIKE | 1.6% | 63.18 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 31.5
PLACE
3 23.5
7 14
12 48.5
QUINELLA
7,12 258
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 50.5
3,12 193.5
7,12 91.5
FORECAST
7,12 389
TIERCE
7,12,3 2,595
TRIO
3,7,12 734
FIRST 4
3,6,7,12 1,633
QUARTET
7,12,3,6 24,670
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 22.5
6TH DOUBLE
3/7 376
3/12 332.5