跑馬地 · 2020-12-16
第 5場
2020-12-16跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、K L Man訓練的V CHEVALIERS勝出，贏出1/2。HAPPY WIN WIN獲得亞軍；CHAIRMAN LO獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | V CHEVALIERS 後段發力 H/TT1 1.39.98 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 7 | 3.1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | HAPPY WIN WIN 後段發力 TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 1 | 7.9 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | CHAIRMAN LO 後段發力 B/TT T Piccone · J Size | T Piccone | J Size | 5 | 51.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | FAITHFUL TRINITY 早段領放 H/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 8 | 4.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | BEST FOR YOU B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 9 | 5.4 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | HAPPY WARRIOR H C L Chau · C Fownes | C L Chau | C Fownes | 4 | 6.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | HAPPY JAI JAI 後段發力 XB/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 11 | 18.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | SHADOW BREAKER 後段發力 SR/TT H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 10 | 40.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | DIONYSUS COLLIN P1 V Borges · K W Lui | V Borges | K W Lui | 6 | 32.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | IMPECCABLE FELLOW B/H M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 2 | 24.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | AFTER ME H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 3 | 28.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | HAPPY FORTUNE H/P/XB/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 12 | 98.0 | 8-1/4 |
| — | 0 | RED BRICK FIGHTER J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | V CHEVALIERS | 23.4% | 4.28 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | FAITHFUL TRINITY | 17.2% | 5.80 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | BEST FOR YOU | 16.1% | 6.23 | 5 |
| 4 | 10 | HAPPY WIN WIN | 9.7% | 10.29 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | IMPECCABLE FELLOW | 5.9% | 16.92 | 10 |
| 6 | 7 | CHAIRMAN LO | 5.7% | 17.66 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | DIONYSUS COLLIN | 5.4% | 18.47 | 9 |
| 8 | 2 | HAPPY WARRIOR | 4.5% | 22.07 | 6 |
| 9 | 1 | HAPPY FORTUNE | 4.4% | 22.62 | 12 |
| 10 | 5 | SHADOW BREAKER | 2.7% | 36.76 | 8 |
| 11 | 9 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 2.6% | 38.51 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | AFTER ME | 2.4% | 41.84 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 31.5
PLACE
7 108
8 12.5
10 23.5
QUINELLA
8,10 100
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 220
7,10 395
8,10 42
FORECAST
8,10 224
TIERCE
8,10,7 4,543
TRIO
7,8,10 1,183
FIRST 4
3,7,8,10 1,201
QUARTET
8,10,7,3 23,245
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 18.5
4TH DOUBLE
11/8 144
11/10 58