跑馬地 · 2020-12-16
第 8場
2020-12-16跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由V Borges策騎、K H Ting訓練的BABY勝出，贏出1。SCORES OF FUN獲得亞軍；THE RUNNER獲得季軍。2.2倍大熱門SCORES OF FUN跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | BABY B 1.09.40 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 6 | 13.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | SCORES OF FUN TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 2.2 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | THE RUNNER SR K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 1 | 4.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | HARMONY N HOME A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 10 | 25.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | KA YING MASTER TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER B Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 9 | 7.1 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | SEVEN HEAVENS V/TT- T Piccone · C Fownes | T Piccone | C Fownes | 11 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | KING'S CAPITAL XB1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 4 | 53.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | FALCON TURBO B/XB B Shinn · A T Millard | B Shinn | A T Millard | 8 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | PRINCE OF FROG H/P/XB M Chadwick · L Ho | M Chadwick | L Ho | 3 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | SERIOUS LIAISON TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 7 | 195.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 12 | XPONENTIAL SR-/V1 A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 5 | 50.0 | 5-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SCORES OF FUN | 33.1% | 3.02 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 14.0% | 7.17 | 6 |
| 3 | 10 | THE RUNNER | 13.6% | 7.34 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | KA YING MASTER | 9.1% | 10.95 | 5 |
| 5 | 12 | XPONENTIAL | 5.3% | 18.71 | 12 |
| 6 | 7 | HARMONY N HOME | 5.1% | 19.59 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | SEVEN HEAVENS | 4.8% | 20.63 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | BABY | 4.5% | 22.14 | 1 |
| 9 | 11 | PRINCE OF FROG | 4.2% | 23.58 | 10 |
| 10 | 1 | FALCON TURBO | 4.1% | 24.45 | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | KING'S CAPITAL | 1.5% | 67.06 | 8 |
| 12 | 3 | SERIOUS LIAISON | 0.6% | 176.10 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 130.5
PLACE
4 12
9 33
10 16
QUINELLA
4,9 153
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 60
4,10 24
9,10 88
FORECAST
9,4 425
TIERCE
9,4,10 1,728
TRIO
4,9,10 205
FIRST 4
4,7,9,10 803
QUARTET
9,4,10,7 23,687
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 29.5
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,7,12/4,9,10 16,808
7TH DOUBLE
7/4 14.5
7/9 385.5
SIX UP
2,4/5,11/8,10/2,3/7,12/4,9 2,025
2/11/8/3/7/9 1,421,550
2 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
3/7/4 239
3/7/9 5,628