Happy Valley · 2020-12-16
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2020-12-16 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. MOMENTUM GALAXY, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by K H Ting, won by 1/2, with TELECOM PUMA second and SMART CHARADE third. The 4.1 favourite TELECOM PUMA finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MOMENTUM GALAXY B 1.10.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 4 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | TELECOM PUMA H-/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 6 | 4.1 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | SMART CHARADE B/H/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 9 | 6.5 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | FLYING PHOTOS H K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 7 | 14.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | CARRY THE DIAMOND H-/B/TT Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 10 | 6.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | PAKISTAN ZINDABAD B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 2 | 42.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | HAPPY PROFIT TT1 C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 11 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | DIAMOND STAR E/TT1 T Piccone · J Size | T Piccone | J Size | 3 | 164.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS B H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 8 | 55.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B-/V1/TT1 V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 12 | 52.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 4 | PHENOMENAL COMBO M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 5 | 6.6 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | COMPASSION STAR J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 1 | 4.1 | 16-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | COMPASSION STAR | 18.6% | 5.36 | 12 |
| 2 | 8 | CARRY THE DIAMOND | 12.1% | 8.23 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | PHENOMENAL COMBO | 12.0% | 8.34 | 11 |
| 4 | 1 | MOMENTUM GALAXY | 10.4% | 9.64 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | HAPPY PROFIT | 10.0% | 10.04 | 7 |
| 6 | 11 | SMART CHARADE | 10.0% | 10.04 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 6.7% | 14.93 | 10 |
| 8 | 2 | TELECOM PUMA | 6.5% | 15.34 | 2 |
| 9 | 3 | FORTUNE HAPPINESS | 5.6% | 17.85 | 9 |
| 10 | 6 | PAKISTAN ZINDABAD | 3.8% | 26.52 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | FLYING PHOTOS | 2.9% | 34.31 | 4 |
| 12 | 9 | DIAMOND STAR | 1.4% | 70.13 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 132
PLACE
1 39.5
2 19.5
11 18
QUINELLA
1,2 277
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 95.5
1,11 105
2,11 52.5
FORECAST
1,2 759
TIERCE
1,2,11 3,458
TRIO
1,2,11 486
FIRST 4
1,2,11,12 1,018
QUARTET
1,2,11,12 34,765
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
2/1 484
2/2 30
3 PICK 1
A3 35.5
A1 —
A2 —