Happy Valley · 2020-12-16
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SMART COUSIN Closed strongly 1.49.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 12 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | GREAT SMART Closed strongly CP/TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 6 | 4.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | GREEN GENERATION Closed strongly B J Moreira · C W Chang | J Moreira | C W Chang | 11 | 5.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | PRESIDENT STAR Closed strongly CP-/B2/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 7 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | WONDER WIN Led early A Badel · L Ho | A Badel | L Ho | 5 | 6.8 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | GENERAL DINO Closed strongly B T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 1 | 9.9 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | GO BALLISTIC SR/TT K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 10 | 9.2 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | SACRED TIMING B M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 4 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | STRAPPING BAUHINIA A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 3 | 12.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | EVEN KEEL B/XB B Shinn · A T Millard | B Shinn | A T Millard | 2 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | MASTER ROMAN CP V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 8 | 54.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | HEALTHY TREASURE B M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 177.0 | 7 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2020-12-16 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. SMART COUSIN, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C H Yip, won by 1-1/4, with GREAT SMART second and GREEN GENERATION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.6 favourite GREAT SMART finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GREAT SMART | 17.8% | 5.61 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | GREEN GENERATION | 17.7% | 5.65 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | SMART COUSIN | 13.5% | 7.41 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | STRAPPING BAUHINIA | 9.2% | 10.87 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | WONDER WIN | 8.9% | 11.30 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | SACRED TIMING | 8.4% | 11.84 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | EVEN KEEL | 8.1% | 12.41 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | GO BALLISTIC | 5.6% | 17.80 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | GENERAL DINO | 4.0% | 25.11 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | PRESIDENT STAR | 3.2% | 31.72 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | MASTER ROMAN | 2.3% | 42.68 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | HEALTHY TREASURE | 1.3% | 74.75 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 150.5
PLACE
2 37.5
4 18.5
9 21.5
QUINELLA
2,4 433.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 165
2,9 128.5
4,9 54
FORECAST
2,4 921
TIERCE
2,4,9 3,970
TRIO
2,4,9 465
FIRST 4
2,4,9,10 1,952
QUARTET
2,4,9,10 55,964
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
1/2 1,856
1/4 135.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 22