Happy Valley · 2021-05-05
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUNNY STAR Closed strongly 1.39.30 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 2 | 3.1 | N |
| 2 | 0 | SMOOTHIES Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 4 | 5.1 | N |
| 3 | 0 | SURREALISM Closed strongly B T Piccone · D E Ferraris | T Piccone | D E Ferraris | 8 | 19.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | GALLANT CROWN Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 6 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | TELECOM FIGHTERS Led early C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 5 | 4.9 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | SMILING CITY Closed strongly CP/SR2 C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 9 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE XB M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 1 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | ROYAL BOMB J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 3 | 5.5 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | ETERNAL BEAUTY TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 80.0 | 17 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2021-05-05 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SUNNY STAR, ridden by A Badel and trained by K W Lui, won by N, with SMOOTHIES second and SURREALISM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ROYAL BOMB | 28.9% | 3.46 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | SMOOTHIES | 19.4% | 5.15 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | SUNNY STAR | 15.7% | 6.36 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE | 10.0% | 9.99 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | GALLANT CROWN | 9.9% | 10.14 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 9.0% | 11.14 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | SURREALISM | 3.9% | 25.56 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | SMILING CITY | 2.7% | 37.32 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | ETERNAL BEAUTY | 0.5% | 197.68 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 31.5
PLACE
2 14
5 17
6 49.5
QUINELLA
2,5 76
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 31.5
2,6 104.5
5,6 132.5
FORECAST
2,5 148
TIERCE
2,5,6 1,693
TRIO
2,5,6 594
FIRST 4
2,5,6,8 705
QUARTET
2,5,6,8 10,774
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
11/2 193.5
11/5 52
3 PICK 1
A1 19.5
A3 —
A2 —