Happy Valley · 2021-05-05
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TOTAL POWER Closed strongly B 1.40.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 5 | 9.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 1 | 8.2 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | DREAM WARRIORS CP/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 10 | 15.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPERB DADDY Closed strongly TT2 K C Leung · D E Ferraris | K C Leung | D E Ferraris | 8 | 7.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER Closed strongly B H Bentley · P O'Sullivan | H Bentley | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 89.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | REGENCY MASTER Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 9 | 9.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | RAINBOW LIGHT CP/SR/XB/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 6 | 5.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | ROYAL RACER Closed strongly V J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 3 | 3.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | STAY CHILL CP C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 11 | 53.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | LIGHT MY DAY Led early CP/TT H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 4 | 43.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | BULLETPROOF TT R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 12 | 9.7 | 3-1/2 |
| — | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG B/TT M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | — | 14.0 | 3 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2021-05-05 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. TOTAL POWER, ridden by C L Chau and trained by D J Hall, won by 1/2, with JOLLY HONOUR second and DREAM WARRIORS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite ROYAL RACER finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | REGENCY MASTER | 20.7% | 4.83 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | ROYAL RACER | 19.6% | 5.11 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | RAINBOW LIGHT | 11.2% | 8.91 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | BULLETPROOF | 9.4% | 10.59 | 12 |
| 5 | 0 | TOTAL POWER | 8.4% | 11.85 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | DREAM WARRIORS | 8.2% | 12.17 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG | 5.6% | 17.98 | — |
| 8 | 0 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER | 4.8% | 20.79 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | STAY CHILL | 4.2% | 23.91 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | SUPERB DADDY | 4.0% | 25.03 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR | 2.8% | 35.22 | 2 |
| 12 | 0 | LIGHT MY DAY | 1.0% | 99.60 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 90.5
PLACE
2 49
3 32
4 26.5
QUINELLA
3,4 396
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 222.5
2,4 198
3,4 130.5
FORECAST
3,4 647
TIERCE
3,4,2 9,508
TRIO
2,3,4 2,691
FIRST 4
2,3,4,8 2,681
QUARTET
3,4,2,8 64,017
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 22
A2 —
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
5/3 434
5/4 56.5