Happy Valley · 2021-09-08
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2021-09-08 was Class 5 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SHANGHAI POWER, ridden by J Moreira and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 2, with CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN second and AFTER ME third. Victory came as the 2.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SHANGHAI POWER B 0.56.52 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 8 | 2.3 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN B K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 12 | 7.1 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | AFTER ME B H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 3 | 32.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | JOY AVENUE Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 7 | 8.4 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | GARLIC HERO E/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 2 | 5.9 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | FARM BUMPER B C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 11 | 24.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | SCENIC SWEETIE TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 10 | 47.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | BOND A STAR TT T Piccone · C H Yip | T Piccone | C H Yip | 5 | 115.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | FOR FUN'S SAKE E/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 9 | 10.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | ISLAND SUNSHINE PC C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 11.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | HOLYSHOWCASING L Ferraris · D E Ferraris | L Ferraris | D E Ferraris | 6 | 50.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | STAR OF RED B/TT H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 1 | 21.0 | 9 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SHANGHAI POWER | 18.7% | 5.36 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | GARLIC HERO | 18.0% | 5.56 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | ISLAND SUNSHINE | 10.9% | 9.15 | 10 |
| 4 | 12 | FOR FUN'S SAKE | 10.3% | 9.74 | 9 |
| 5 | 9 | JOY AVENUE | 9.9% | 10.09 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN | 8.6% | 11.58 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | HOLYSHOWCASING | 6.4% | 15.64 | 11 |
| 8 | 7 | SCENIC SWEETIE | 6.2% | 16.24 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | BOND A STAR | 2.9% | 34.24 | 8 |
| 10 | 1 | FARM BUMPER | 2.9% | 35.06 | 6 |
| 11 | 8 | AFTER ME | 2.8% | 36.18 | 3 |
| 12 | 4 | STAR OF RED | 2.5% | 39.49 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 23.5
PLACE
6 19.5
8 63.5
10 13.5
QUINELLA
6,10 86
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 288
6,10 34.5
8,10 143.5
FORECAST
10,6 145
TIERCE
10,6,8 2,055
TRIO
6,8,10 636
FIRST 4
6,8,9,10 604
QUARTET
10,6,8,9 8,391
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 16.5
A3 —