Happy Valley · 2021-09-08
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2021-09-08 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. TURIN REDSTAR, ridden by H Bentley and trained by D J Whyte, won by N, with GALLANT CROWN second and SUNNY STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite GALLANT CROWN finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | TURIN REDSTAR Closed strongly B/TT- 1.39.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 2 | 9.9 | N |
| 2 | 6 | GALLANT CROWN B/TT K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 4 | 3.8 | N |
| 3 | 1 | SUNNY STAR Closed strongly C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 6 | 5.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | RIGHT HONOURABLE Closed strongly H/PC/TT M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 3 | 19.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | NOTHING NEW Closed strongly XB A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 5 | 5.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | WEALTHY DELIGHT Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 10 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | ROYAL BOMB Led early K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 9 | 18.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | INDICATIVE VOTE TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 1 | 3.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | NAMJONG PLUS L Ferraris · Y S Tsui | L Ferraris | Y S Tsui | 8 | 45.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT B2 H N Wong · C H Yip | H N Wong | C H Yip | 7 | 127.0 | 15 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | INDICATIVE VOTE | 27.7% | 3.61 | 8 |
| 2 | 6 | GALLANT CROWN | 16.3% | 6.12 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | NOTHING NEW | 15.4% | 6.51 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | SUNNY STAR | 15.3% | 6.55 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | WEALTHY DELIGHT | 9.1% | 10.97 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 5.9% | 16.81 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | NAMJONG PLUS | 3.5% | 28.26 | 9 |
| 8 | 8 | TURIN REDSTAR | 3.2% | 31.21 | 1 |
| 9 | 2 | ROYAL BOMB | 2.7% | 36.70 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT | 0.8% | 125.43 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 99
PLACE
1 18.5
6 14.5
8 28.5
QUINELLA
6,8 199.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 32.5
1,8 96.5
6,8 64.5
FORECAST
8,6 467
TIERCE
8,6,1 2,714
TRIO
1,6,8 421
FIRST 4
1,6,7,8 958
QUARTET
8,6,1,7 26,979
All pools (5 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,4/1,6,8 9,916
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 42.5
5TH DOUBLE
2/6 114
2/8 2,128
TRIPLE TRIO
5,9,11/2,3,4/1,6,8 519,986
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
5,9,11/2,3,4/Any Combination 893