Happy Valley · 2021-09-08
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2021-09-08 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. PIANO SOLO, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by 1/2, with MEANINGFUL STAR second and YOO YOO KING third. The winner led throughout. The 2.8 favourite ZHAN JIANG ROCKS finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | PIANO SOLO Wire to wire 1.39.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 7 | 6.7 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | MEANINGFUL STAR Closed strongly B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 14.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | YOO YOO KING Closed strongly TT K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 8 | 9.7 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | ZHAN JIANG ROCKS Closed strongly TT J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 3 | 2.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | BLAZING BEAT XB/CP2 R Maia · C W Chang | R Maia | C W Chang | 2 | 35.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | VILLA FIONN Closed strongly B A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 12 | 58.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | EVER LAUGH B/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 5 | 17.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 11 | SURE WIN WIN Closed strongly V K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 10 | 12.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | PEARL CHAMPION B C Schofield · C H Yip | C Schofield | C H Yip | 6 | 4.9 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | SUPERB DADDY B-/CP1/TT L Ferraris · D E Ferraris | L Ferraris | D E Ferraris | 1 | 19.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | INGENIOUS FELLOW B/TT T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 9 | 206.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | DREAM WARRIORS CP/H/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 11 | 10.0 | 14-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | ZHAN JIANG ROCKS | 29.2% | 3.43 | 4 |
| 2 | 11 | SURE WIN WIN | 16.1% | 6.19 | 8 |
| 3 | 6 | PIANO SOLO | 11.6% | 8.60 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | PEARL CHAMPION | 8.7% | 11.44 | 9 |
| 5 | 3 | DREAM WARRIORS | 7.1% | 14.14 | 12 |
| 6 | 1 | MEANINGFUL STAR | 6.4% | 15.68 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | SUPERB DADDY | 4.8% | 20.85 | 10 |
| 8 | 5 | EVER LAUGH | 4.6% | 21.77 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | BLAZING BEAT | 4.2% | 23.60 | 5 |
| 10 | 2 | YOO YOO KING | 3.8% | 26.00 | 3 |
| 11 | 4 | VILLA FIONN | 2.7% | 36.37 | 6 |
| 12 | 9 | INGENIOUS FELLOW | 0.6% | 157.19 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 67.5
PLACE
1 43.5
2 33.5
6 21.5
QUINELLA
1,6 526
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 182
1,6 159
2,6 106.5
FORECAST
6,1 863
TIERCE
6,1,2 6,089
TRIO
1,2,6 1,079
FIRST 4
1,2,6,7 549
QUARTET
6,1,2,7 16,378
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
2/1 346
2/6 1,292
3 PICK 1
A1 20
A3 —
A2 —