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Sha Tin · 2026-02-14 · 04:45

TVB LOK SIN TONG CHARITY CORNER HANDICAP

Race 1

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course C+3 12 runners

Race 1 ("TVB LOK SIN TONG CHARITY CORNER HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-02-14 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GOR GOR, ridden by K Teetan and trained by B Crawford, won, with INCREDIBLE MOMENT second and SHOTGUN third. The 3.3 favourite VIGOR EYE finished 9th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.71 Hammer 9.46

Result

Official · 1:09.35
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 GOR GOR 1:09.35 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · B Crawford 10 15.0
2 8 INCREDIBLE MOMENT R Kingscote · M Newnham 9 7.0 NOSE
3 12 SHOTGUN B/XB A Atzeni · D J Hall 3 3.9 N
4 4 LIVE WIRE XB Z Purton · D J Whyte 1 6.3 N
5 6 WINNING CHAMPION TT H Bentley · C S Shum 2 9.1 1-3/4
6 2 BIGTIME GENERATION XB L Ferraris · P F Yiu 12 54.0 2-1/4
7 1 MOTOR B/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 11 30.0 2-1/2
8 3 PHOENIX LIGHT H M F Poon · C H Yip 6 29.0 2-3/4
9 5 VIGOR EYE CP B Avdulla · D A Hayes 5 3.3 5-1/2
10 7 RUBY SAILING TT E C W Wong · K L Man 7 24.0 6
11 9 NOBLE FANS B/TT M L Yeung · J Size 4 19.0 6-1/4
12 11 EVERYONE'S GALLOP V/H1/TT Y L Chung · F C Lor 8 183.0 6-1/2
0 AEROINVINCIBLE H/TT · P C Ng
0 TAI VICTORY B · K H Ting

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOR GOR2. INCREDIBLE MOMENT+0.05L3. SHOTGUN+0.05L4. LIVE WIRE+0.05L5. WINNING CHAMPION+1.75L6. BIGTIME GENERATION+2.25L7. MOTOR+2.5L8. PHOENIX LIGHT+2.75L9. VIGOR EYE+5.5L10. RUBY SAILING+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SHOTGUN (21.1%) finished 3rd — the winner GOR GOR was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 12 SHOTGUN 21.1% 4.74 3
2 5 VIGOR EYE 20.4% 4.90 9
3 4 LIVE WIRE 17.6% 5.70 4
4 6 WINNING CHAMPION 7.7% 13.00 5
5 9 NOBLE FANS 6.5% 15.33 11
6 10 GOR GOR 6.2% 16.14 1
7 8 INCREDIBLE MOMENT 5.5% 18.15 2
8 2 BIGTIME GENERATION 3.9% 25.47 6
9 7 RUBY SAILING 3.4% 29.81 10
10 1 MOTOR 3.1% 31.88 7
11 3 PHOENIX LIGHT 3.1% 32.49 8
12 11 EVERYONE'S GALLOP 1.5% 65.85 12
SHOTGUNVIGOR EYELIVE WIREWINNING CHAMPIONNOBLE FANSGOR GOR — wonINCREDIBLE MOMENTBIGTIME GENERATIONRUBY SAILINGMOTORPHOENIX LIGHTEVERYONE'S GALLOP

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 157

PLACE

8 26.5

10 39

12 15

QUINELLA

8,10 826.5

QUINELLA PLACE

8,10 259.5

8,12 45.5

10,12 110

FORECAST

10,8 1,672

TIERCE

10,8,12 7,993

TRIO

8,10,12 995

FIRST 4

4,8,10,12 1,378

QUARTET

10,8,12,4 45,431