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Sha Tin · 2026-02-14 · 10:05

TVB MISS HONG KONG PAGEANT HANDICAP

Race 10

Class 3 (Restricted) GOOD TO FIRM 1600m Course C+3 14 runners

Race 10 ("TVB MISS HONG KONG PAGEANT HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-02-14 was Class 3 (Restricted) over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. STORMY GROVE, ridden by H Bentley and trained by F C Lor, won, with WITHOUT COMPARE second and ENDUED third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite LUCKY SAM GOR finished 4th.

Track detail & race-day changes (3)
Penetrometer 2.71 Hammer 9.46 #8 STORMY GROVE — Code 96 #8 STORMY GROVE — Jockey Change #8 STORMY GROVE — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:34.33
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 STORMY GROVE Closed strongly H/TT 1:34.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · F C Lor 14 6.2
2 11 WITHOUT COMPARE Led early TT L Hewitson · C S Shum 6 6.5 3/4
3 10 ENDUED Closed strongly E/TT A Atzeni · J Size 10 8.5 2-1/4
4 3 LUCKY SAM GOR Closed strongly XB J Orman · M Newnham 3 3.6 2-3/4
5 4 NATURAL NUMBERS B M F Poon · Y S Tsui 2 12.0 3-1/2
6 5 MIGHTY MASTS TT Z Purton · W Y So 8 4.8 3-3/4
7 7 ENTHUSIUM Closed strongly TT1 A Badel · J Size 11 49.0 4-1/2
8 6 CHILL EASY XB C Y Ho · P F Yiu 4 12.0 5-1/4
9 14 DANICA'S CHOICE Closed strongly K Teetan · B Crawford 9 77.0 5-1/2
10 1 GLITTERING LEGEND XB H Bowman · D Eustace 5 24.0 5-3/4
11 2 SHANWAH Closed strongly CP-/B2/TT1 B Avdulla · D J Whyte 12 132.0 7-1/4
12 9 LEGEND WINNER CP/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham 1 21.0 8-1/4
13 13 A TIME FOR US B/TT Y L Chung · K W Lui 13 81.0 13-1/2
14 12 LUCKY CANDY H-/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 7 170.0 22-3/4
0 LUCKY TWIN STARS CP · K W Lui
8 CHINA WIN M L Yeung · D A Hayes 14

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. STORMY GROVE2. WITHOUT COMPARE+0.75L3. ENDUED+2.25L4. LUCKY SAM GOR+2.75L5. NATURAL NUMBERS+3.5L6. MIGHTY MASTS+3.75L7. ENTHUSIUM+4.5L8. CHILL EASY+5.25L9. DANICA'S CHOICE+5.5L10. GLITTERING LEGEND+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick LUCKY SAM GOR (35.7%) finished 4th — the winner STORMY GROVE was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 LUCKY SAM GOR 35.7% 2.80 4
2 5 MIGHTY MASTS 15.9% 6.29 6
3 11 WITHOUT COMPARE 8.1% 12.29 2
4 6 CHILL EASY 8.0% 12.56 8
5 10 ENDUED 7.1% 14.06 3
6 8 STORMY GROVE 5.3% 18.90 1
7 1 GLITTERING LEGEND 4.3% 23.05 10
8 9 LEGEND WINNER 4.1% 24.11 12
9 13 A TIME FOR US 2.7% 36.88 13
10 7 ENTHUSIUM 2.7% 37.65 7
11 14 DANICA'S CHOICE 1.8% 56.04 9
12 4 NATURAL NUMBERS 1.7% 58.03 5
13 12 LUCKY CANDY 1.3% 79.44 14
14 2 SHANWAH 1.3% 79.54 11
LUCKY SAM GORMIGHTY MASTSWITHOUT COMPARECHILL EASYENDUEDSTORMY GROVE — wonGLITTERING LEGENDLEGEND WINNERA TIME FOR USENTHUSIUMDANICA'S CHOICENATURAL NUMBERSLUCKY CANDYSHANWAH

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 62.5

PLACE

8 23.5

10 26.5

11 21.5

QUINELLA

8,11 189

QUINELLA PLACE

8,10 75.5

8,11 68

10,11 86

FORECAST

8,11 439

TIERCE

8,11,10 2,241

TRIO

8,10,11 539

FIRST 4

3,8,10,11 366

QUARTET

8,11,10,3 9,945

All pools (4 more)

2ND TREBLE

6/14/8 22,523

6/14/11 4,689

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

4,10,14/8,10,11 166,989

9TH DOUBLE

14/8 420.5

14/11 68

SIX UP

2,8/4,7/3,7,9/6,10/10,14/8,11 5,986

8/7/9/6/14/8 2,508,260

7 [A S Cruz]

3 [A Atzeni]