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Sha Tin · 2026-02-14 · 18:05

TVB MISS HONG KONG PAGEANT HANDICAP

Race 10

Class 3 (Restricted) GOOD TO FIRM 1600m Course C+3 14 runners
Track detail & race-day changes (3)
Penetrometer 2.71 Hammer 9.46 #8 STORMY GROVE — Code 96 #8 STORMY GROVE — Jockey Change #8 STORMY GROVE — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:34.33
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 STORMY GROVE Closed strongly H/TT 1:34.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · F C Lor 14 6.2 —
2 11 WITHOUT COMPARE Led early TT L Hewitson · C S Shum 6 6.5 3/4
3 10 ENDUED Closed strongly E/TT A Atzeni · J Size 10 8.5 2-1/4
4 3 LUCKY SAM GOR Closed strongly XB J Orman · M Newnham 3 3.6 2-3/4
5 4 NATURAL NUMBERS B M F Poon · Y S Tsui 2 12.0 3-1/2
6 5 MIGHTY MASTS TT Z Purton · W Y So 8 4.8 3-3/4
7 7 ENTHUSIUM Closed strongly TT1 A Badel · J Size 11 49.0 4-1/2
8 6 CHILL EASY XB C Y Ho · P F Yiu 4 12.0 5-1/4
9 14 DANICA'S CHOICE Closed strongly K Teetan · B Crawford 9 77.0 5-1/2
10 1 GLITTERING LEGEND XB H Bowman · D Eustace 5 24.0 5-3/4
11 2 SHANWAH Closed strongly CP-/B2/TT1 B Avdulla · D J Whyte 12 132.0 7-1/4
12 9 LEGEND WINNER CP/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham 1 21.0 8-1/4
13 13 A TIME FOR US B/TT Y L Chung · K W Lui 13 81.0 13-1/2
14 12 LUCKY CANDY H-/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 7 170.0 22-3/4
— 0 LUCKY TWIN STARS CP · K W Lui — — —
— 8 CHINA WIN M L Yeung · D A Hayes 14 — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 ("TVB MISS HONG KONG PAGEANT HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-02-14 was Class 3 (Restricted) over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. STORMY GROVE, ridden by H Bentley and trained by F C Lor, won, with WITHOUT COMPARE second and ENDUED third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite LUCKY SAM GOR finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. STORMY GROVE—2. WITHOUT COMPARE+0.75L3. ENDUED+2.25L4. LUCKY SAM GOR+2.75L5. NATURAL NUMBERS+3.5L6. MIGHTY MASTS+3.75L7. ENTHUSIUM+4.5L8. CHILL EASY+5.25L9. DANICA'S CHOICE+5.5L10. GLITTERING LEGEND+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick LUCKY SAM GOR (35.7%) finished 4th — the winner STORMY GROVE was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 LUCKY SAM GOR 35.7% 2.80 4
2 5 MIGHTY MASTS 15.9% 6.29 6
3 11 WITHOUT COMPARE 8.1% 12.29 2
4 6 CHILL EASY 8.0% 12.56 8
5 10 ENDUED 7.1% 14.06 3
6 8 STORMY GROVE 5.3% 18.90 1
7 1 GLITTERING LEGEND 4.3% 23.05 10
8 9 LEGEND WINNER 4.1% 24.11 12
9 13 A TIME FOR US 2.7% 36.88 13
10 7 ENTHUSIUM 2.7% 37.65 7
11 14 DANICA'S CHOICE 1.8% 56.04 9
12 4 NATURAL NUMBERS 1.7% 58.03 5
13 12 LUCKY CANDY 1.3% 79.44 14
14 2 SHANWAH 1.3% 79.54 11
LUCKY SAM GORMIGHTY MASTSWITHOUT COMPARECHILL EASYENDUEDSTORMY GROVE — wonGLITTERING LEGENDLEGEND WINNERA TIME FOR USENTHUSIUMDANICA'S CHOICENATURAL NUMBERSLUCKY CANDYSHANWAH

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 62.5

PLACE

8 23.5

10 26.5

11 21.5

QUINELLA

8,11 189

QUINELLA PLACE

8,10 75.5

8,11 68

10,11 86

FORECAST

8,11 439

TIERCE

8,11,10 2,241

TRIO

8,10,11 539

FIRST 4

3,8,10,11 366

QUARTET

8,11,10,3 9,945

All pools (4 more)

2ND TREBLE

6/14/8 22,523

6/14/11 4,689

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

4,10,14/8,10,11 166,989

9TH DOUBLE

14/8 420.5

14/11 68

SIX UP

2,8/4,7/3,7,9/6,10/10,14/8,11 5,986

8/7/9/6/14/8 2,508,260

3 [A Atzeni] —

7 [A S Cruz] —