沙田 · 2026-02-14 · 10:05
TVB MISS HONG KONG PAGEANT HANDICAP
第 10場
2026-02-14沙田第10場「TVB MISS HONG KONG PAGEANT HANDICAP」，Class 3 (Restricted)，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由H Bentley策騎、F C Lor訓練的STORMY GROVE勝出。WITHOUT COMPARE獲得亞軍；ENDUED獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.6倍大熱門LUCKY SAM GOR跑獲第4名。
場地詳情及賽日變動（3）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | STORMY GROVE 後段發力 H/TT 1:34.33 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 14 | 6.2 | — |
| 2 | 11 | WITHOUT COMPARE 早段領放 TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 6 | 6.5 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | ENDUED 後段發力 E/TT A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 10 | 8.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | LUCKY SAM GOR 後段發力 XB J Orman · M Newnham | J Orman | M Newnham | 3 | 3.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | NATURAL NUMBERS B M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 2 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | MIGHTY MASTS TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 8 | 4.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | ENTHUSIUM 後段發力 TT1 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 11 | 49.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | CHILL EASY XB C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 4 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 14 | DANICA'S CHOICE 後段發力 K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 9 | 77.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | GLITTERING LEGEND XB H Bowman · D Eustace | H Bowman | D Eustace | 5 | 24.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | SHANWAH 後段發力 CP-/B2/TT1 B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 12 | 132.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | LEGEND WINNER CP/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 1 | 21.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 13 | A TIME FOR US B/TT Y L Chung · K W Lui | Y L Chung | K W Lui | 13 | 81.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 14 | 12 | LUCKY CANDY H-/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 7 | 170.0 | 22-3/4 |
| — | 0 | LUCKY TWIN STARS CP · K W Lui | — | K W Lui | — | — | — |
| — | 8 | CHINA WIN M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 14 | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LUCKY SAM GOR | 35.7% | 2.80 | 4 |
| 2 | 5 | MIGHTY MASTS | 15.9% | 6.29 | 6 |
| 3 | 11 | WITHOUT COMPARE | 8.1% | 12.29 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | CHILL EASY | 8.0% | 12.56 | 8 |
| 5 | 10 | ENDUED | 7.1% | 14.06 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | STORMY GROVE | 5.3% | 18.90 | 1 |
| 7 | 1 | GLITTERING LEGEND | 4.3% | 23.05 | 10 |
| 8 | 9 | LEGEND WINNER | 4.1% | 24.11 | 12 |
| 9 | 13 | A TIME FOR US | 2.7% | 36.88 | 13 |
| 10 | 7 | ENTHUSIUM | 2.7% | 37.65 | 7 |
| 11 | 14 | DANICA'S CHOICE | 1.8% | 56.04 | 9 |
| 12 | 4 | NATURAL NUMBERS | 1.7% | 58.03 | 5 |
| 13 | 12 | LUCKY CANDY | 1.3% | 79.44 | 14 |
| 14 | 2 | SHANWAH | 1.3% | 79.54 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 62.5
PLACE
8 23.5
10 26.5
11 21.5
QUINELLA
8,11 189
QUINELLA PLACE
8,10 75.5
8,11 68
10,11 86
FORECAST
8,11 439
TIERCE
8,11,10 2,241
TRIO
8,10,11 539
FIRST 4
3,8,10,11 366
QUARTET
8,11,10,3 9,945
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
6/14/8 22,523
6/14/11 4,689
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,10,14/8,10,11 166,989
9TH DOUBLE
14/8 420.5
14/11 68
SIX UP
2,8/4,7/3,7,9/6,10/10,14/8,11 5,986
8/7/9/6/14/8 2,508,260
7 [A S Cruz] —
3 [A Atzeni] —