沙田 · 2026-02-14 · 08:15
THE TVB CUP (HANDICAP)
第 7場
2026-02-14沙田第7場「THE TVB CUP (HANDICAP)」，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由E C W Wong策騎、C Fownes訓練的SKY TRUST勝出。INVINCIBLE SHIELD獲得亞軍；GUSTOSISIMO獲得季軍。4.1倍大熱門INVINCIBLE SHIELD跑獲第2名。
場地詳情及賽日變動（1）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SKY TRUST TT 1:08.41 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 9 | 4.9 | — |
| 2 | 3 | INVINCIBLE SHIELD C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 4.1 | SH |
| 3 | 10 | GUSTOSISIMO TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 1 | 7.5 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | SWIFT ASCEND B/TT A Badel · D Eustace | A Badel | D Eustace | 5 | 6.6 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | MAGIC CONTROL TT B Avdulla · W K Mo | B Avdulla | W K Mo | 6 | 32.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | ALL OUT FOR SIX XB- Y L Chung · M Newnham | Y L Chung | M Newnham | 12 | 33.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | WUNDERBAR E H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 10 | 4.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | LADY'S CHOICE B L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 11 | 31.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | VICTOR THE WINNER B-/TT K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 7 | 39.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | MUGEN K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 2 | 28.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | LUCKY WITH YOU L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 3 | 7.6 | 8-1/2 |
| — | 0 | SUPERB CAPITALIST TT · A S Cruz | — | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE · J Size | — | J Size | — | — | — |
| — | 7 | PATCH OF STARS TT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | INVINCIBLE SHIELD | 25.0% | 4.00 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | GUSTOSISIMO | 21.6% | 4.64 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | WUNDERBAR | 12.1% | 8.28 | 7 |
| 4 | 9 | SKY TRUST | 11.6% | 8.61 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | SWIFT ASCEND | 6.5% | 15.44 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 6.4% | 15.69 | 11 |
| 7 | 6 | MUGEN | 4.6% | 21.81 | 10 |
| 8 | 12 | ALL OUT FOR SIX | 4.0% | 24.81 | 6 |
| 9 | 4 | MAGIC CONTROL | 3.5% | 28.58 | 5 |
| 10 | 8 | LADY'S CHOICE | 2.6% | 38.33 | 8 |
| 11 | 5 | VICTOR THE WINNER | 2.2% | 46.13 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 49.5
PLACE
3 14.5
9 18.5
10 25
QUINELLA
3,9 136.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 45.5
3,10 58.5
9,10 62.5
FORECAST
9,3 273
TIERCE
9,3,10 1,194
TRIO
3,9,10 174
FIRST 4
3,9,10,11 183
QUARTET
9,3,10,11 3,961
全部彩池（另 1 項）
6TH DOUBLE
7/3,7 12.5
7/9 285.5