沙田 · 2026-02-14 · 06:40
TVB POK OI CHARITY SHOW HANDICAP
第 4場
2026-02-14沙田第4場「TVB POK OI CHARITY SHOW HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由A Atzeni策騎、A S Cruz訓練的SERANGOON勝出。AUDACIOUS PURSUIT獲得亞軍；RELIABLE DAD獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.6倍大熱門AUDACIOUS PURSUIT跑獲第2名。
場地詳情
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SERANGOON 後段發力 B/TT 1:47.80 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · A S Cruz | A Atzeni | A S Cruz | 6 | 16.0 | — |
| 2 | 1 | AUDACIOUS PURSUIT 後段發力 TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 3 | 2.6 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | RELIABLE DAD 後段發力 XB K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 4 | 6.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | CHARITY TOGETHER 後段發力 CP-/B2/TT L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 13 | 9.5 | 2 |
| 5 | 14 | VIVA TASTE 後段發力 TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 12 | 34.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 13 | ACE CP/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 8 | 8.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY 後段發力 V- A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 9 | 41.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | DILBAGH PC-/XB/B1/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 1 | 93.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | GOOD GOOD 早段領放 PC-/B2 H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 2 | 7.4 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | MEGA FORCE 後段發力 TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 10 | 97.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | SPECIAL HEDGE TT L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 14 | 13.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 10 | FOREVER GLORIOUS V/XB C Y Ho · B Crawford | C Y Ho | B Crawford | 5 | 15.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 13 | 2 | SHARPEN BRIGHT B B Avdulla · Y S Tsui | B Avdulla | Y S Tsui | 11 | 36.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 14 | 6 | SUPER GOLDENDRAGON CP/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 7 | 84.0 | 15-1/2 |
| — | 0 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY B/TT · C S Shum | — | C S Shum | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | STAR BROSE CP-/B2/TT · D A Hayes | — | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | AUDACIOUS PURSUIT | 28.1% | 3.56 | 2 |
| 2 | 13 | ACE | 15.4% | 6.51 | 6 |
| 3 | 4 | GOOD GOOD | 10.8% | 9.26 | 9 |
| 4 | 8 | SERANGOON | 7.6% | 13.19 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | RELIABLE DAD | 6.6% | 15.27 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | CHARITY TOGETHER | 5.9% | 17.04 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 4.9% | 20.39 | 12 |
| 8 | 2 | SHARPEN BRIGHT | 3.7% | 26.73 | 13 |
| 9 | 14 | VIVA TASTE | 3.7% | 26.89 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY | 3.4% | 29.30 | 7 |
| 11 | 11 | MEGA FORCE | 2.8% | 35.13 | 10 |
| 12 | 9 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 2.8% | 36.21 | 11 |
| 13 | 12 | DILBAGH | 2.3% | 43.09 | 8 |
| 14 | 6 | SUPER GOLDENDRAGON | 2.0% | 49.42 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 168.5
PLACE
1 13.5
5 20
8 45
QUINELLA
1,8 214
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 34.5
1,8 88.5
5,8 157.5
FORECAST
8,1 656
TIERCE
8,1,5 3,313
TRIO
1,5,8 416
FIRST 4
1,3,5,8 555
QUARTET
8,1,5,3 19,157
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,6/1,5,8 7,511
3RD DOUBLE
6/1 13
6/8 618.5