沙田 · 2026-02-14 · 08:55
TVB SCOOP HANDICAP
第 8場
2026-02-14沙田第8場「TVB SCOOP HANDICAP」,Class 4,途程1400米,跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K C Leung策騎、F C Lor訓練的RUN RUN SMART勝出。AMAZING DUCK獲得亞軍;ALWAYS FLUKE獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。2.9倍大熱門SOLID CAR跑獲第8名。
場地詳情
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | RUN RUN SMART 一路領先 TT 1:22.16 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 6 | 35.0 | — |
| 2 | 10 | AMAZING DUCK TT R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 2 | 4.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 14 | ALWAYS FLUKE 後段發力 H/TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 3 | 15.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | NYX GLUCK 後段發力 SR H Bowman · W K Mo | H Bowman | W K Mo | 8 | 4.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | SUPER LOVE TT B Avdulla · C H Yip | B Avdulla | C H Yip | 1 | 20.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | EXCELLENT BOY 後段發力 CP M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 9 | 195.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | GASTRONOMIQUE 後段發力 E/TT A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 12 | 34.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | SOLID CAR 後段發力 B Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 7 | 2.9 | 3 |
| 9 | 5 | GENIUS BABY XB/TT K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 5 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | DECISION LINK TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 13 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | STARRY SHOW CP1 J Orman · D A Hayes | J Orman | D A Hayes | 4 | 153.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | MULTISUPERSTAR 後段發力 TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 68.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 13 | THE ALL ROUNDER B A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 10 | 54.0 | 7 |
| 14 | 8 | LEATHER GOODS B/TT E C W Wong · K L Man | E C W Wong | K L Man | 14 | 164.0 | 14-1/2 |
| — | 0 | PING HAI COMET H · J Size | — | J Size | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | SUPER MASTERMIND CP-/B1/TT · J Richards | — | J Richards | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | NYX GLUCK | 27.1% | 3.69 | 4 |
| 2 | 4 | SOLID CAR | 17.9% | 5.59 | 8 |
| 3 | 5 | GENIUS BABY | 11.7% | 8.51 | 9 |
| 4 | 10 | AMAZING DUCK | 9.6% | 10.37 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | DECISION LINK | 7.6% | 13.13 | 10 |
| 6 | 14 | ALWAYS FLUKE | 5.4% | 18.67 | 3 |
| 7 | 12 | GASTRONOMIQUE | 5.2% | 19.23 | 7 |
| 8 | 6 | RUN RUN SMART | 4.8% | 20.77 | 1 |
| 9 | 1 | SUPER LOVE | 2.8% | 35.10 | 5 |
| 10 | 8 | LEATHER GOODS | 2.4% | 41.23 | 14 |
| 11 | 13 | THE ALL ROUNDER | 2.1% | 47.02 | 13 |
| 12 | 9 | EXCELLENT BOY | 1.2% | 84.10 | 6 |
| 13 | 7 | MULTISUPERSTAR | 1.1% | 92.75 | 12 |
| 14 | 3 | STARRY SHOW | 1.0% | 101.08 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 353.5
PLACE
6 78
10 16.5
14 35.5
QUINELLA
6,10 682.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 180.5
6,14 764.5
10,14 101
FORECAST
6,10 1,913
TIERCE
6,10,14 27,360
TRIO
6,10,14 2,539
FIRST 4
2,6,10,14 2,302
QUARTET
6,10,14,2 111,158
全部彩池(另 2 項)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
9,10>3,7/6,10,14 75,991
7TH DOUBLE
9/6 2,294.5
9/10 45