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Sha Tin · 2026-02-14 · 08:55

TVB SCOOP HANDICAP

Race 8

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Race 8 ("TVB SCOOP HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-02-14 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. RUN RUN SMART, ridden by K C Leung and trained by F C Lor, won, with AMAZING DUCK second and ALWAYS FLUKE third. The winner led throughout. The 2.9 favourite SOLID CAR finished 8th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.71 Hammer 9.46

Result

Official · 1:22.16
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 RUN RUN SMART Wire to wire TT 1:22.16 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · F C Lor 6 35.0
2 10 AMAZING DUCK TT R Kingscote · K H Ting 2 4.2 3/4
3 14 ALWAYS FLUKE Closed strongly H/TT H Bentley · W Y So 3 15.0 1
4 2 NYX GLUCK Closed strongly SR H Bowman · W K Mo 8 4.1 2-1/2
5 1 SUPER LOVE TT B Avdulla · C H Yip 1 20.0 2-1/2
6 9 EXCELLENT BOY Closed strongly CP M L Yeung · C W Chang 9 195.0 2-1/2
7 12 GASTRONOMIQUE Closed strongly E/TT A Atzeni · J Size 12 34.0 2-3/4
8 4 SOLID CAR Closed strongly B Z Purton · D J Hall 7 2.9 3
9 5 GENIUS BABY XB/TT K Teetan · B Crawford 5 14.0 3-1/4
10 11 DECISION LINK TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 13 11.0 4-1/2
11 3 STARRY SHOW CP1 J Orman · D A Hayes 4 153.0 5-1/4
12 7 MULTISUPERSTAR Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 11 68.0 6
13 13 THE ALL ROUNDER B A Badel · P C Ng 10 54.0 7
14 8 LEATHER GOODS B/TT E C W Wong · K L Man 14 164.0 14-1/2
0 PING HAI COMET H · J Size
0 SUPER MASTERMIND CP-/B1/TT · J Richards

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. RUN RUN SMART2. AMAZING DUCK+0.75L3. ALWAYS FLUKE+1L4. NYX GLUCK+2.5L5. SUPER LOVE+2.5L6. EXCELLENT BOY+2.5L7. GASTRONOMIQUE+2.75L8. SOLID CAR+3L9. GENIUS BABY+3.25L10. DECISION LINK+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick NYX GLUCK (27.1%) finished 4th — the winner RUN RUN SMART was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 NYX GLUCK 27.1% 3.69 4
2 4 SOLID CAR 17.9% 5.59 8
3 5 GENIUS BABY 11.7% 8.51 9
4 10 AMAZING DUCK 9.6% 10.37 2
5 11 DECISION LINK 7.6% 13.13 10
6 14 ALWAYS FLUKE 5.4% 18.67 3
7 12 GASTRONOMIQUE 5.2% 19.23 7
8 6 RUN RUN SMART 4.8% 20.77 1
9 1 SUPER LOVE 2.8% 35.10 5
10 8 LEATHER GOODS 2.4% 41.23 14
11 13 THE ALL ROUNDER 2.1% 47.02 13
12 9 EXCELLENT BOY 1.2% 84.10 6
13 7 MULTISUPERSTAR 1.1% 92.75 12
14 3 STARRY SHOW 1.0% 101.08 11
NYX GLUCKSOLID CARGENIUS BABYAMAZING DUCKDECISION LINKALWAYS FLUKEGASTRONOMIQUERUN RUN SMART — wonSUPER LOVELEATHER GOODSTHE ALL ROUNDEREXCELLENT BOYMULTISUPERSTARSTARRY SHOW

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 353.5

PLACE

6 78

10 16.5

14 35.5

QUINELLA

6,10 682.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,10 180.5

6,14 764.5

10,14 101

FORECAST

6,10 1,913

TIERCE

6,10,14 27,360

TRIO

6,10,14 2,539

FIRST 4

2,6,10,14 2,302

QUARTET

6,10,14,2 111,158

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

9,10>3,7/6,10,14 75,991

7TH DOUBLE

9/6 2,294.5

9/10 45