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Sha Tin · 2026-02-14 · 06:10

TVB YAN CHAI CHARITY SHOW HANDICAP

Race 3

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course C+3 11 runners

Race 3 ("TVB YAN CHAI CHARITY SHOW HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-02-14 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. CHILL BUDDY, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by P F Yiu, won, with MICKLEY second and RED SEA third. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.71 Hammer 9.46

Result

Official · 1:08.94
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 CHILL BUDDY TT 1:08.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · P F Yiu 5 2.5
2 1 MICKLEY TT J Orman · J Size 8 12.0 3/4
3 2 RED SEA TT1 Z Purton · J Richards 11 3.9 1-1/4
4 8 QUANTUM CLOUD B- L Hewitson · B Crawford 6 14.0 2
5 5 HAROLD WIN V/XB H Bowman · K W Lui 7 5.2 3
6 3 WONDERSTAR B M Chadwick · Y S Tsui 3 16.0 3-1/2
7 4 ANODE B2/TT E C W Wong · C S Shum 9 10.0 3-3/4
8 7 JOLTIN CP1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes 10 101.0 4-1/2
9 9 LUCKY TOGETHER TT A Badel · F C Lor 4 74.0 5-1/4
10 10 TACTICAL VICTORY B/TT2 R Kingscote · W Y So 2 139.0 8
11 11 RISING FROM ASHES B/XB H T Mo · C W Chang 1 37.0 15-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CHILL BUDDY2. MICKLEY+0.75L3. RED SEA+1.25L4. QUANTUM CLOUD+2L5. HAROLD WIN+3L6. WONDERSTAR+3.5L7. ANODE+3.75L8. JOLTIN+4.5L9. LUCKY TOGETHER+5.25L10. TACTICAL VICTORY+8L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick CHILL BUDDY (31.6%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 CHILL BUDDY 31.6% 3.17 1
2 2 RED SEA 17.0% 5.87 3
3 5 HAROLD WIN 13.6% 7.33 5
4 8 QUANTUM CLOUD 10.4% 9.60 4
5 1 MICKLEY 8.6% 11.69 2
6 3 WONDERSTAR 6.8% 14.79 6
7 4 ANODE 5.1% 19.61 7
8 7 JOLTIN 2.4% 42.32 8
9 11 RISING FROM ASHES 2.2% 46.16 11
10 9 LUCKY TOGETHER 1.3% 78.11 9
11 10 TACTICAL VICTORY 1.1% 91.50 10
CHILL BUDDY — wonRED SEAHAROLD WINQUANTUM CLOUDMICKLEYWONDERSTARANODEJOLTINRISING FROM ASHESLUCKY TOGETHERTACTICAL VICTORY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 25.5

PLACE

1 27.5

2 19

6 13

QUINELLA

1,6 129

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 86.5

1,6 47.5

2,6 30.5

FORECAST

6,1 209

TIERCE

6,1,2 1,052

TRIO

1,2,6 199

FIRST 4

1,2,6,8 447

QUARTET

6,1,2,8 10,603

All pools (1 more)

2ND DOUBLE

4/1 93

4/6 116.5